Wintry Nov 30-Dec 1 Flurries/Snow Showers

[BufordWX]

CMC looks a tad farther west.

 

[Stormdoc]

At this range with the GFS’ progressive bias, that second wave is in a good spot at this moment

 

[Ollie Williams]

That was a dud


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I wouldn’t freak out. Definitely more potential if you modified the H5 look.

 

[BufordWX]

CMC has a little snow with wave 1 for some.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

CMC btw showed some snow showers with the ULL

 

[Ollie Williams]

Get a phaser and boom!

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Something trying to break out.View attachment 53364

Is this the first or second wave?

 

[BufordWX]

Is this the first or second wave?

Second wave

 

[LovingGulfLows]

850s are fine in the interior parts of these states, but the precip is so light. The wave just does not come in at the right angle to create a viable moisture transport. We went from a bonafide cutoff ULL to an upper level trough lol.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Probably not a storm on the CMC, but I like this look!

 

[Webberweather53]

The axis of wave 1 sitting basically overhead w/ wave #2 (which may become our big cut off upper low) entering the Great Basin

 

[BHS1975]

According to the GFS ensemble, we may be about to see the first +2 sigma (or greater) PNA day in December for the first time since 2014 & only the 2nd time since 2001.

Wow

We might actually have winter this year.


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[Myfrotho704_]

Pretty good gefs run for areas along and west of the mountains (TN) for wave 1

 

[Webberweather53]

Oh heck yea, I absolutely love seeing a wave over the southern Rockies while a vortex pinwheels over New England & Atlantic Canada.

 

[SD]

So far the cmc, icon, gfs have shown at least a chance of light snow or flurries for this area late Monday into early Tuesday as the upper level energy passes by. They have also shown some hints of or rain changing to snow in North Al, north Ga, upstate SC, nc mountains, east Tn. Not a bad start

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Oh heck yea, I absolutely love seeing a wave over the southern Rockies while a vortex pinwheels over New England & Atlantic Canada.

View attachment 53390

View attachment 53389

Now that right there gives me more classic miller B vibes with a classic SE Canada vortex and lagging wave behind it

 

[SD]

The axis of wave 1 sitting basically overhead w/ wave #2 (which may become our big cut off upper low) entering the Great Basin

View attachment 53382

Me gusta

 

[NCSNOW]

It's about freaking time.

NO signal /TC helps us in the SE more than a +PNA. Rest are nice and have their moments of glory. But a tall west coast ridge even if its only delivering normal canadian air usually solves our 1st and most pressing issue, cold air.

 

[Webberweather53]

I posted this yesterday, but...
Get that wave further west, and it can mature and create a really big storm, like the one in 2000.
View attachment 53368

You mean like this?

 

[wxdaniel]

FYI- before the complaining starts about "too soon" "jinx" whatever else, stop it, the thread is fine. The only suggestion I have is maybe opening up the dates on the title a little bit.

I'm not going to worry about advice from Tallahassee.

-Dabo Swinney


This is where everyone is. Didn’t know we started yet. I was wondering why October thread got quiet.

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