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Wintry Nov 30-Dec 1 Flurries/Snow Showers

Stephenb888 said:
I just believe that at some point there’s gotta be a legit snowstorm again in SC. It can’t just never happen again right? Does anyone think anywhere in SC will ever see a foot of snow from one storm ever again?
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It happened in 2018. It was very localized though. Inman was one location that got a foot. Sadly the best place in SC to see a widespread foot plus is the coastal plain. They're in a better position for a juiced up Miller A even though it only seems to happen once a decade. We just suck in the upstate. We don't get perfect track Miller A's. They cut or either they're too far east. All we ever get here is slop CAD storms that change to sleet and rain. A solid 3-6 inch storm here is about the best we can hope for.
 
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Myfrotho704_ said:
Yeah bro if you tryna chase with me and @MattLabenzwx let me know, talking about chasing from day to night to get those lightning/anvil crawler shots
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I’d actually like to do that. I have a complete GoPro Hero set up for doing just that. I bought it all this past summer. If you don’t mind an old man tagging along.
 
SD said:
These streamers going into Ga/Al are interesting.
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RGEM also has a small linear band of snow cutting right through the heart of the metro ATL area Monday evening.

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Tomorrow afternoon-early Tuesday morning continues to look more interesting. I am especially interested in those bands being shown on both the NAM and RGEM. If they do happen I wouldn’t be surprised to see a brief period of light-moderate snow. One thing to watch will be how the temperatures react tomorrow. With how cold the upper levels are( -4 to -7C at 850) I would say we will probably be supportive of snow around surface temperatures of 37-39 degrees. Hoping we can sneak in some flakes before sunset, but either way I think quite a few people on here in North Alabama and Georgia got a real good shot of seeing their first flakes of the season!
 
BufordWX said:
Tomorrow afternoon-early Tuesday morning continues to look more interesting. I am especially interested in those bands being shown on both the NAM and RGEM. If they do happen I wouldn’t be surprised to see a brief period of light-moderate snow. One thing to watch will be how the temperatures react tomorrow. With how cold the upper levels are( -4 to -7C at 850) I would say we will probably be supportive of snow around surface temperatures of 37-39 degrees. Hoping we can sneak in some flakes before sunset, but either way I think quite a few people on here in North Alabama and Georgia got a real good shot of seeing their first flakes of the season!
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I 100% agree. These bands are going to be super thin but could rip snow for a few short minutes. Don’t be surprised to see some isolated reports of a quick dusting under those heaviest spots.

will be very isolated though. There is a ton of moisture at the 850mb level and I find it very hard to believe that it doesn’t break containment.
3km nam has been the driest of any model so far and even it has snow showers breaking out of the mountains.
 
Fountainguy97 said:
I 100% agree. These bands are going to be super thin but could rip snow for a few short minutes. Don’t be surprised to see some isolated reports of a quick dusting under those heaviest spots.

will be very isolated though. There is a ton of moisture at the 850mb level and I find it very hard to believe that it doesn’t break containment.
3km nam has been the driest of any model so far and even it has snow showers breaking out of the mountains.
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Someone correct me if I am wrong, but the 12z HRRR was also interesting looking at the simulated reflectivity. Almost looks like there is a convective nature to those shower/snow showers.09B35A5E-8CE1-4A0C-AB6B-AB67941F1B53.png
 
I really do think people east of the mountains have a chance at a flurry. 3k and GEFS and I think HRRR have all shown activity in central/east NC and a bit in the upstate. Low chance, but I don’t think you can rule out flakes
 
BufordWX said:
Someone correct me if I am wrong, but the 12z HRRR was also interesting looking at the simulated reflectivity. Almost looks like there is a convective nature to those shower/snow showers.View attachment 54479
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Some bright bands showing up against the mountains in E TN
 
BufordWX said:
Someone correct me if I am wrong, but the 12z HRRR was also interesting looking at the simulated reflectivity. Almost looks like there is a convective nature to those shower/snow showers.View attachment 54479
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yep and these convective streamers can be a blast. CAN be. I’m not trying to over hype this. But they can dump some snow.

here is the WRF-ARW. That tiny streamer drops 1-2”

but it’s 100% just a wait and see what happens type of event. Completely random



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Sleet City USA said:
I really do think people east of the mountains have a chance at a flurry. 3k and GEFS and I think HRRR have all shown activity in central/east NC and a bit in the upstate. Low chance, but I don’t think you can rule out flakes
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Call me pessimistic, but I just don't see that happening anywhere east of the mountains. NW flows hardly ever produce the goods here unless we already have the cold air in place. Or maybe a random clipper. But even then, we still need the cold air in place. That's one of the many negatives to living east of the apps, unfortunately. By far the most painful example was December 2017. Never want to relive that crap again!
 
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