Looks like it would’ve been a good storm. As long as suppression didn’t squish it to Cuba.
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Wintry Nov 30-Dec 1 Flurries/Snow Showers
- Thread starter Six Mile Wx
- Start date
Stephenb888
Member
Why do you say would’ve? Is our chance gone now?
The ULL looks a bit faster this run.
Icon only goes so far out. End of the run was that frame
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
Looks like the system is in prime position to me at the end of the icon run.. not seeing it suppressed to Cuba.
No I was saying the model only runs out to 180 hours and it could have been interesting had it gone out further.
Clem282340
Member
Is faster good or bad
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Really need the big cold over here on our side. This marginal air mass isn't going to cut it this early in the season.
Avalanche
Member
Even if the placement was off the coast temps would still be marginal.
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Yeah this first wave isn't going to produce.
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Sent from my Pixel 3 using Tapatalk
??
I wouldn’t cliff dive on the first wave until we get into mesoscale model range.
If only it was January
I like the ICON solution tbh, give me CAD anyday
bouncycorn
Meteorologist
This "first wave" is largely post frontal precip for most in this forum-- when do setups like that ever cause significant snow events? Hardly ever. "Second wave" aka Dec 3-5 looks most conducive right now as a miller A setup.
I was thinking that all along.
The GFS doesn’t look very good for the second wave. The key piece that is supposed to come down and phase w/ our wave over the southwest is not in a good position. That’s going to allow the +PNA ridge to trap it and move it westward.
At this timeframe, I would say that a suppression look is what you want to see, as long as the overall pattern is there