AJ1013
Member
EPS for Miami. Pretty decent all things considered tbh. After the last three months of endless rain I could really use some 60's and sunshine

About to head to Walmart and HD ASAP.Flizzard Watch activate!View attachment 54356
Flizzard Watch activate!View attachment 54356
mountains !I am just amazed that the flurries keep getting further into Georgia but refuse to cross the SC line. Just doesn’t make any sense.
Ask @Robert West . Snow hates South Carolina.mountains !
mountains !
When I was younger this didn’t seem to matter. Many snows while I was growing up. What happened?
The mountains have gotten taller since you were younger.When I was younger this didn’t seem to matter. Many snows while I was growing up. What happened?
Anyone know the relative reliability of the ICON compared to the EC and GFS?
The mountains have gotten taller since you were younger.
I honestly think the JMA is better than it, I’ve looked at it the last 2 months and it has done pretty goodI’ll just say it’s a lot worse.
I honestly think the JMA is better than it, I’ve looked at it the last 2 months and it has done pretty good
Downsloping! Has the same affect here in the upstate as it does in parts of georgia...orientation of the storm and where we sit on this side of the mountains. Happens alot during summertime storms as well. Keeps alot of severe crap off of us but can also keep snow showers off of us.I am just amazed that the flurries keep getting further into Georgia but refuse to cross the SC line. Just doesn’t make any sense.
Really need a NNE wind for that.Not terribly knowledgeable on lake effect snow, but is there any possibility that lake Lanier might try something. I know it can at least in minute amounts.
The mountains have gotten taller since you were younger.
Downsloping! Has the same affect here in the upstate as it does in parts of georgia...orientation of the storm and where we sit on this side of the mountains. Happens alot during summertime storms as well. Keeps alot of severe crap off of us but can also keep snow showers off of us.
Downsloping! Has the same affect here in the upstate as it does in parts of georgia...orientation of the storm and where we sit on this side of the mountains. Happens alot during summertime storms as well. Keeps alot of severe crap off of us but can also keep snow showers off of us.
So what would the setup have to be for us to get a decent snow in the upstate? I know someone said the cold has to already be in place but it seems like even when that happens the low brings warm air which usually causes rain right at the I-85 line.
The simplest answer to this is that you need the low to track to your southeast, and you need cold air held in place by an arctic high to your north or northwest.
Which of these is the hardest to get the cold in place or the low tracking just right? Or is it just both happening at the same time?
Both, most of the time when you have the cold in place, you can have a pretty stout vortex in place with suppressed stuff, but when you have the storm track in place, sometimes it just lacks cold, most of the time for setups East of the mountains, you want a SE Canada vortex that’s moving out slowly, this allows high pressure on the backside which gives us cold air damming, then you need to time a southern wave right, that’s our best setups East of the mountainsWhich of these is the hardest to get the cold in place or the low tracking just right? Or is it just both happening at the same time?
Here is the look you want (This map was made from @Webberweather53), this pattern coming up has SE Canada ridging which isn’t idealWhich of these is the hardest to get the cold in place or the low tracking just right? Or is it just both happening at the same time?
Look like it trying to snow east of the mountains in the upstateI will take the GFS.View attachment 54368
I doubt you will see snow in Key Biscayne !Tuesday night is going to be a race against the clock here. How cold will it get before the winds shift from N to NNE. The forecasting error could be enormous as the model spread is gigantic for only a few days out with various models predicting lows as cold as 42F and as warm as 63F.
A lot of members are still showing some solid snow flurries in nc east of the mountainsGEFS is almost full on Flizzard!View attachment 54369
It's both happening at the same time that is rare.
I doubt you will see snow in Key Biscayne !
Maybe it can snow a little in the upstateA lot of members are still showing some solid snow flurries in nc east of the mountains
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Maybe it can snow a little in the upstate
The winters look delightful.Here's what my climate looks like. Hopefully this makes you guys feel a bit better about where you live lol
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