We are getting La Niña’d ?
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Wintry Nov 30-Dec 1 Flurries/Snow Showers
- Thread starter Six Mile Wx
- Start date
Reminds me of the pattern in October.
This will 100% verify
This ain’t ideal as you get later and later into December either (120E forcing) 
We bout to get MJO’d again this year?
Thats probably got a lot to do with it. Where else would the MJO head in the winter months?
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Hopefully we can see some flakes for these next couple systems.
Sent from my Pixel 3 using Tapatalk
Sent from my Pixel 3 using Tapatalk
Stephenb888
Member
What exactly is all this negative talk I’m seeing about? I’m assuming the models show it getting warm again mid December?
Correct
Let’s go ahead and Max it out in 5 to get it over with ??
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Thats not necessarily a bad thing. I think everyone will be ready to thaw out by then. At least until winter make a comeback in January.
Not in the immediate long range but we can see where we’re headed with a stout south east ridge becoming more apparent as we head later into December :/ we knew it would come eventually but we’re hoping we can squeeze something out in the coming weeks with the weird pattern we’re facing with upper level lows and such.. the south East ridge is coming but when will it come? We don’t know for certain .. probably late December and hopefully we can get lucky once we get into the heart of winter
Can't be sick of cold if it hasn't been cold
Since most Decembers don't produce outside thr mtns I'm all for waiting on January. Although I'm pretty sure that's not how this story ends.
Euro is ? for any flurries with wave 1 outside the mountains
This is close to some big severe weather, just you classic -tilt shortwave 
Euro also sucks for ULL #2 with it going north so it’s just the mountains only, euro is back to disappointing isn’t it
Fixed
I would be interested in that fast moving wave coming out of Montana but how can you, lol 
It always has potential past hour 200 don’t it 
BufordWX
Member
FFC just put this out. Actually mentioning light accumulations in far north Georgia.
Finally, as the center of the low pressure system lifts over north Georgia, moisture and lift will combine with very cold temperatures to the north and aloft to allow for some of the rain to mix with and change to snow over parts of north and west Georgia, roughly north of a Canton to Dawsonville to Helen line. Temperatures are expected to fall quickly into the upper 20s and lower 30s during this time, so any light snow accumulations may lead to some hazardous road conditions. It is too soon to say exactly where and how much snow could fall, but based on the latest information, snow accumulations should remain below 1 inch.
Finally, as the center of the low pressure system lifts over north Georgia, moisture and lift will combine with very cold temperatures to the north and aloft to allow for some of the rain to mix with and change to snow over parts of north and west Georgia, roughly north of a Canton to Dawsonville to Helen line. Temperatures are expected to fall quickly into the upper 20s and lower 30s during this time, so any light snow accumulations may lead to some hazardous road conditions. It is too soon to say exactly where and how much snow could fall, but based on the latest information, snow accumulations should remain below 1 inch.
whatalife
Moderator
Yep...CMC, GFS, Euro full of potential after hour 200...#neverfailstohappen
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Game on !
Euro is a lil chilly Wednesday morning for the smokies 
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
I like the cold NW look! That always translates to SE snows! We get our best snows when SEA gets snow!
Funny how the best model is the most disappointing. I wonder why that is?
Dewpoint Dan
Member
The headline for the Special Weather Statement reads Light snow accumulations possible over North and West Georgia.... to me that means places like Carrollton, Cedartown, etc.... That's West Georgia to me.
NoSnowATL
Member
Above 285/ I-20. Yep
Dewpoint Dan
Member
The wording from FFC is definitely a bit confusing, saying snow for north and west ga, and then saying mainly north of a line from Canton to Helen. Well, West Georgia is nowhere near that line so it makes no sense.
NoSnowATL
Member
It’s North Georgia. Just very North Georgia.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
But they also say West Georgia.
BufordWX
Member
I would assume those are the areas that best have a chance of light accumulation. At the very least I think Atlanta and surrounding areas have a decent shot at flurries or a light snow shower. Any snowflake will be a win.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
I'm still hopeful that even metro Atlanta may see a light dusting.
BufordWX
Member
Not terribly knowledgeable on lake effect snow, but is there any possibility that lake Lanier might try something. I know it can at least in minute amounts.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The SE ridge is about to pop in 3...2...1
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
It's possible, you need at least an 8-8.5C difference between the lake and 850mb temperature w/ at least some semblance of CAPE. These lapse rates kinda suck (verbatim) on the 12z GFS
I bet things will look different after wave 1 severe/MTN snow passes. Models can’t be seeing things clearly beyond this big storm to come. I have seen it many times.
BufordWX
Member
FFC afternoon discussion is quite interesting for far north Georgia. Not ruling out accumulation on non grassy surfaces.
First winter event of the season likely Mon afternoon and overnight
over north and west GA. Measurable snow < 1.0 inches lining up well
with WPC WWD and neighboring offices. Could be a few spots of 2
inches in higher elevations. Would normally say accumulations on
grassy surfaces only, but guidance temps all pointing to significant
cooling Mon night with sfc temps in the upper 20s in many areas of
far north GA. Will be race to see how much cold conveyer belt precip
continues into the night in spite of low level cold advection. QPF
quite light for the event.
First winter event of the season likely Mon afternoon and overnight
over north and west GA. Measurable snow < 1.0 inches lining up well
with WPC WWD and neighboring offices. Could be a few spots of 2
inches in higher elevations. Would normally say accumulations on
grassy surfaces only, but guidance temps all pointing to significant
cooling Mon night with sfc temps in the upper 20s in many areas of
far north GA. Will be race to see how much cold conveyer belt precip
continues into the night in spite of low level cold advection. QPF
quite light for the event.
BufordWX
Member
Also mentioning another chance next weekend with wave 2.
Moisture associated with the low`s center and wrap-around could provide another shot of winter precip for north Georgia late Saturday night into Sunday.
BufordWX
Member
Flizzard Watch activate!