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Wintry Nov 30-Dec 1 Flurries/Snow Showers
- Thread starter Six Mile Wx
- Start date
BufordWX
Member
Add the Euro to the list of models improving the backside precipitation Monday evening into Tuesday.
#flurrywatch2020 
Bingo. I remember living in Birmingham it would get colder faster than even Atlanta.
I love how all these snow maps are perfectly depicting the snow hole hell of the Southern Tn Valley I live in..
Dry cold anyone 
At least it don’t go away from the 12z run to much 
Huh? 
Large increases over the south-central!
Stephenb888
Member
What is this showing?
Stephenb888
Member
Is this a good thing?
It doesn’t mean anything unless you live there.
BufordWX
Member
Does anyone else hear a plane engine?
Wrong guy to ask.. but a low phasing in a weird way?
Oh no.... do not like seeing that SW trough now with a GOA ridge 
Jeremy Camp
Member
I am not playing my ace card just yet. My first unscheduled day off is looking promising.
Brent
Member
Jeremy Camp
Member
You would be correct models can flip from cold to warm in one day. That's why I am not playing my ace card just yet. Ace card means I am all in, witch. I'm not at this time because it can change 8 time's between now and then, now. If it was in more certain territory like Dec 1st-3rd. I would be all in for it. I know for certain one thing we are getting here in North Texas is the cold temperatures from it is nighttime temperatures of 25-30 degrees across the DFW area.
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Brent
Member
it is interesting to see some EPS support but yeah I'm gonna need a lot more runs lol
if it happens on Thursday though I'm off work lol
Can we turn this into a board wide Southern Slider Mid-Dec Deluxe Special somehow?
BufordWX
Member
06z NAM looked like it had a little more precipitation. Solid flurries and snow shower coverage in Alabama. It will be interesting to see what the 3km shows now that it is coming into range.
Jeremy Camp
Member
I agree!.
Will be interesting to see MRX's discussion later today.. whether they adjust their forecasts or not. Currently, they're not high on this much wrap around frozen moisture. Conservative boogers.
BufordWX
Member
I think it is quite interesting reading the discussions on this from the various NWS offices. The Alabama ones are particularly interesting. HTX is saying that any precipitation in north Alabama will be cold rain outside of highest elevations. Meanwhile, BMX is explicitly forecasting the chance for flurries and snow showers all the way to Birmingham.
Good bit east for the first low... still too warm.. 
BufordWX
Member
GFS looked about the same if not a tad better for Monday night.
BufordWX
Member
For wave 2 the GFS has more snow showers and flurries for North Alabama and Georgia. Lol
Most GEFS members have snow somewhere east of the mountains in NC with the first wave. Some even have the northern upstate getting flurries.
SimeonNC
Member
Color me interested
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
So much for snow! How about 2 marginal risks for severe in a row?
System 2 keeps getting better and better for some. Pretty good hit here.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Yeah that system keeps getting juicer and juicer for sure.
Nam looks good for much of Tn Monday with some snow showers/flurries making it well south in Al even into parts of NGa
Sure it'll probably end up in fail but I wouldn't give up on this. Ridging trying to build over the top just need it to separate more from the lead system
Al/Ga getting nam'd
Nam sucks For snow but the gefs/gfs tru to give NC some snow showers and they have the best case scenario with the ULL #flurrywatch2020 
