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Wintry Nov 30-Dec 1 Flurries/Snow Showers

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Mcdowell_weather said:
One thing I remember Eric Thomas off WBTV when I was a kid was him saying a big ole high coming out of the plains and low forming in the gulf. There's alot of truth in your post alot of ppl think a HP to our North is a must...its not unless you want ice with CAD.
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This very true... in fact if you look at Charlotte’s two biggest snowstorms in the last 50 year, January 1988 and February 2004, both had the high centered over the Midwest
 
Webberweather53 said:
It's a popular misconception that you need to have a cold surface high over New England to get adequate cold air transport for a coastal cyclone/Miller A in the Carolinas & I've been seeing it on here a lot lately. The reality is for coastal cyclones you really don't need it, having a surface high over the midwest is actually pretty optimal

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Look at all the northerly flow and cold advection ahead of the surface high over the Great Plains
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This composite of nearly 100 Miller A winter events for NC since 1948 also shows this pretty nicely, there's no cold high over New England or SE Canada

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The 6z GFS is in about the right place for something here taken at face value.

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Thanks for clarifying that for me! What is it that we need to trend towards on the GFS? Our waves just aren’t maturing, or getting enough cold air.
 
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Loganelliott99 said:
Eric is just so smart and I don't understand some of the things he posts so I genuinely try to learn. I'll read up on the MJO and some other things. I'm sorry for causing frustration.
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No one understands half the stuff he talks about. He could literally just be making words up and no one would notice.
 
Webberweather53 said:
On the other hand, what you often need for a good Miller A in the Carolinas in addition to a deep longwave trough centered just east of the TN/OH valley, is a west-based -NAO, a -AO & -EPO doesn't hurt either.

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Pattern-wise, of the most recent NWP model runs, the 0z operational ECMWF was the closest to reproducing this composite Miller A pattern

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And a 1050 HP sitting over [mention]Tarheel1 [/mention]’s house.
 
Loganelliott99 said:
Eric is just so smart and I don't understand some of the things he posts so I genuinely try to learn. I'll read up on the MJO and some other things. I'm sorry for causing frustration.
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There are a lot of informative web pages about the different alphabet soup weather terms. Even though it’s frowned upon by scholars to use as cited material, Wikipedia is a good source for answering a lot of questions you might have.
 
tramadoc said:
There are a lot of informative web pages about the different alphabet soup weather terms. Even though it’s frowned upon by scholars to use as cited material, Wikipedia is a good source for answering a lot of questions you might have.
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I feel like it might be a good time to dust off the learning thread and for us as a community to add to it, the wiki also has links to good resources. Maybe we can start moving some questions into that thread to get answers posted there. I'm sure that poster isn't the only one with those same questions.
 
SD said:
I feel like it might be a good time to dust off the learning thread and for us as a community to add to it, the wiki also has links to good resources. Maybe we can start moving some questions into that thread to get answers posted there. I'm sure that poster isn't the only one with those same questions.
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I also think it’s important to remember that we were all once there. Hopefully we will never discourage learning by asking questions, which the learning thread would be appropriate for.
 
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