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Wintry Nov 30-Dec 1 Flurries/Snow Showers

Starting to see hints of a potential typhoon in the extended range over the western Pacific (notice the yellow and orange shading near the Philippines). While I still think we will trend towards -EPO as we approach mid-December, a typhoon there dumping tons of heat and momentum into the entrance region of the N Pacific jet could throw a wrench in that idea and extend this period of Nino-esque +PNA/active subtropical jet beyond mid month.

Keep the gravy train rolling!

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The Euro says big brick wall of positive heights. May not be good since it could block cold air from coming south.
View attachment 53738
It’s still gonna be cold just that the air masses will be coming from central Canada and not the arctic circle. That can still be enough to get the job done down here as next week is hinting at.
 
It’s still gonna be cold just that the air masses will be coming from central Canada and not the arctic circle. That can still be enough to get the job done down here as next week is hinting at.
I would imagine this will also allow an abundance of moisture in these systems vs a dry natured arctic blast we see sometimes.
 
Good things can happen with a big ridge over the NW.

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Close but to suppressed, it’s definitely the best euro run for wave 2 so far tho View attachment 53753View attachment 53754
If there was heavier precip north it would have been a paste job lol (Northern part of precip sheild) View attachment 53755View attachment 53756
Looking at it to hit the southeast at the perfect time we need it to speed up a bit or slow down. Slowing down maybe even better based off those 850s for the 5th if it could be moving into SC at 0z it could slam the south from AL to NC.
 
Hard to complain about that big beefy ridge extending all the way through Canada. I’ll take that all day. And what a look from the euro! Suppression city. It may not be suppressed enough. I wouldn’t mind seeing it strung out completely at 00z tbh
 
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