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Severe New Years Severe Weather Event

5F6F9C64-0F95-4B2F-AA5C-774B7D26C748.gifNew MCD
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 3, 4, 5 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm threat, including the potential for a
tornado, continues ahead of the outflow boundary from northeast MS
across northern AL into middle TN.

DISCUSSION...Despite an abundance of warm sector development, most
of this activity has failed to materialize into supercells thus far.
The only exception is the pair of northeastward moving supercells,
one over far north-central MS and the other over far northwest AL.
Westernmost cell in this pair has begun to interact with the outflow
while the easternmost cell is still slightly ahead of the boundary
and may be able to remain more intense for a bit longer.

While some weakening of the buoyancy has occurred, this narrow
corridor ahead of the outflow still represents the best area for
potential severe thunderstorms for the next few hours.
 
View attachment 100759New MCD
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 3, 4, 5 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm threat, including the potential for a
tornado, continues ahead of the outflow boundary from northeast MS
across northern AL into middle TN.

DISCUSSION...Despite an abundance of warm sector development, most
of this activity has failed to materialize into supercells thus far.
The only exception is the pair of northeastward moving supercells,
one over far north-central MS and the other over far northwest AL.
Westernmost cell in this pair has begun to interact with the outflow
while the easternmost cell is still slightly ahead of the boundary
and may be able to remain more intense for a bit longer.

While some weakening of the buoyancy has occurred, this narrow
corridor ahead of the outflow still represents the best area for
potential severe thunderstorms for the next few hours.
Mid level lapse rates are barely 6C which is likely the reason why storms haven’t gotten going like they were suppose to
 
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