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Severe New Years Severe Weather Event

34874B09-3F64-4E02-83E2-FAA005BA7558.gifThat one about to cross the state line seems like it could produce shortly. Has nothing blocking inflow from the south.
 
Nothing really get any strong rotation too it. Might be because of the poor lapse rates, but idk
 
Wait. The warm nose hasn't even broke. So most of these probably aren't even convective yet lol
 
Mesoscale Discussion 9​
MD 9 graphic

Mesoscale Discussion 0009
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0157 PM CST Sat Jan 01 2022

Areas affected...Northern MS into Far Northern AL and Southern
Middle TN.

Concerning...Tornado Watch 3...4...5...

Valid 011957Z - 012130Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 3, 4, 5 continues.

SUMMARY...Development of a few discrete supercells capable of
producing tornadoes and damaging wind gusts possible from northern
MS into far northern AL and southern middle TN.

DISCUSSION...Recent observations suggest the outflow boundary moving
through western TN has become less defined near the TN/MS border,
suggesting that much of warm sector across northern MS and adjacent
northern AL/southern middle TN will likely stay free from the
influence of this boundary. Additionally, the amount and intensity
of the warm sector cells has continued to increase, with several
cells producing lightning over the past hour. This development is
occurring within an environment characterized by warm and moist
low-levels and strong vertical shear. Recent GWX VAD also sampled
300 m2/s2 of 0-1 km storm-relative helicity. Expectation is for the
storms currently in northern MS to organize/intensify further as
they continue northeastward into a more sheared downstream
environment.

..Mosier.. 01/01/2022
 
Heading northeast to Birmingham. Not rooted to the surface, but pretty strong rotation Screenshot_20220101-141300.png
 
This is a very healthy looking on cell on radar. I think this one near where the HRRR gets updraft swaths on. Screenshot_20220101-141800.png
 
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