Severe New Years Severe Weather Event

[HSVweather]

 

[jaymackd3]

All good here just a lot of straight line winds

 

[BufordWX]

Might see an attempt at a quick spin up here soon.

 

[BufordWX]

Tornado warning.

 

[BufordWX]

Another spin up might be forming on the Alabama/Georgia state line. May need to extend warning into Georgia.

 

[BufordWX]

Another spin up might be forming on the Alabama/Georgia state line. May need to extend warning into Georgia.View attachment 100928

Extended into far northwest Georgia.

 

[cyclogent]

widespread thunderstorm warning throughout the CHA metro area, but literally zero lightning/thunder. nothing at all showing on lighningmap.org
radar looks rather threatening though. just weird

 

[Snowfan]

 

[BufordWX]

I wonder if another spin up is gonna try to form with this new line segment.

 

[Darklordsuperstorm]

Honestly. Im a little shocked that they are extending it. But I can understand why based off the storms to the north. So far the showers down this way have been unimpressive

 

[BufordWX]

New tornado watch for Alabama and western Georgia. Until 5:00 AM CST/6:00 AM EST

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Tornado warning and watch on back to back days here. Don’t see that very often

 

[Windergawx]

Why are the storms out front failing to strengthen?

We are missing a key ingredient, lift maybe? Just a porchcaster but the air and dew just seem primed

 

[BufordWX]

Looks like the potential is there for an increase in severe weather over next few hours

 

[MSnowAtl]

Looks like the potential is there for an increase in severe weather over next few hoursView attachment 100996

I just don't see it!!!

 

[Windergawx]

I just don't see it!!!

Why what's missing?

 

[gawxnative]

Jan 2, 2022 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook​

Updated: Sun Jan 2 12:34:24 UTC 2022 (Print Version | | )​

Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table​

Categorical Tornado Wind Hail Pop. Cities CWAs RFCs Interstates Counties ARTCC FEMA Tribal Categorical Day1 1300Z Outlook Day 1 Risk​ Area (sq. mi.)​ Area Pop.​ Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area​ SLIGHT​ 93,927​ 8,336,729​ Tallahassee, FL...Savannah, GA...Columbia, SC...Charleston, SC...Macon, GA...​ MARGINAL​ 41,968​ 5,247,227​ Jacksonville, FL...Mobile, AL...Columbus, GA...Gainesville, FL...Fayetteville, NC...​

Forecast Discussion

SPC AC 021234 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0634 AM CST Sun Jan 02 2022 Valid 021300Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST/CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts, a few tornadoes, and isolated large hail are possible across parts of the Southeast and Carolinas today through tonight. ...Southeast AL area today to the eastern Carolinas overnight... A pre-frontal band of convection has sagged southeastward overnight across southeast MS, central/southern AL, north GA, and the Piedmont of the Carolinas. This convection is well ahead of the stronger synoptic cold front/Arctic air mass now surging across the lower MS Valley and northwest Gulf of Mexico. This pre-frontal band may continue to focus convection during the day from southeast AL into GA, where gradual cooling aloft (2-3 C cooling in the 700-400 mb layer compared to current profiles) and a little low-level warming/moistening will contribute to MLCAPE increasing to 1500-2000 J/kg by late afternoon. Given the continued strong deep-layer vertical shear, the stronger storms from southeast AL into southwest GA will be capable of producing damaging winds, isolated large hail, and perhaps a tornado or two. The primary cyclogenesis will occur tonight from west central/southwest GA into the Carolinas (likely moving along the residual pre-frontal convective boundary), in response increasing height falls aloft with the amplifying midlevel trough. Related increases in forcing for ascent, low-level warm/moist advection, and strengthening vertical shear (both deep-layer shear and low-level hodograph curvature) should be sufficient to support convection persisting overnight night in a broken band along or just ahead of the synoptic cold front and near the deepening surface cyclone. Buoyancy will be somewhat limited overnight (MLCAPE near 500 J/kg) from southeast GA into the coastal plains of the Carolinas, but effective bulk shear of 60-70 kt and effective SRH near 300 m2/s2 will favor embedded supercells and/or line segments capable of producing damaging gusts and a couple of tornadoes. ..Thompson/Kerr.. 01/02/2022

 

[gawxnative]

SPC has raised the "threat" with the current Day 1. N. FL, S/SE GA, and Coastal SC/NC

 

[HSVweather]

Storm damage from Hazel Green, AL last night

 

[Johnkittz]

Was this a bust? Atleast to information that we had before the system?