LickWx
Member
Last 10 years November has trended mostly cooler across our region! However as we all know that doesn’t always portend to colder winters . Hence the name naughty November , she teases but leaves us right when we need her .
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Naughty November
- Thread starter LickWx
- Start date
November will end up AN after a early month cool shot due to -NAO breaking down is my prediction, warmest November in years
No Nude Beach November??
? ?
It'll be a ridge in 264 hours.
Guaranteed
November roast: 
olhausen
Member
I’d rather it be warmer in November and even December. It seems I remember many winters that were good starting off warmer or normal that ended up being colder and snowier when it really mattered. It could just be because colder early just hasn’t panned out the last few winters though. I really try not to get to excited for snow until at least mid December anyways since we rarely get more than a dusting before January first.
Usmeagle2005
Member
Same here, I gave up on the winter of 2015, end of February and all the storms went just to our north. Then out of nowhere February 25th snow of 7 inches and a March snow/sleet of about 3 inches. Don’t want to wait that long but yea, cold November’s have been horrible here.?
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Honestly i would rather it be cold in Dec than Jan. For one, it makes the Christmas season actually feel like Christmas. I find January cold more depressing because by then the holidays are over and it's just not as fun. Plus the sun angle is lower in Dec. So I would rather have cold and snow in Dec. And honestly most places in the south don't average much more snow in Jan than Dec. Maybe an inch or two more in Jan at the most. Atl averages 1.3 in Jan and 0.4 in Dec, so basically the same.
avlsnow
Member
I mean I expect to see AN heights over us 95% of the time! But to see the whole country fail like that has to be rare. Hope this isn't another 11-12 repeat. But if it is at least the whole country will share in our misery.
It's all setting up the great reversal!!
Monday looks chilly.
Wouldn't be shocked to see the first frost/freeze of the season on Monday/Tuesday. Really like Tuesday to go low dews in the mid 20s to low 30s in many areas. Think 30 is a good starting point here if we keep a breeze 32-34 if we go calm 26-28
Storm5
Member
I guess I need to change my profile pic with the title “ naughty November “
Looking forward to highs in the mid to lower 60s in a few days
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Looking forward to highs in the mid to lower 60s in a few days
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Dewpoint Dan
Member
I bet it comes down
Trash.
smast16
Member
Atleast everyone else gets to suffer with us.
Maybe we get back into cool to cold by mid November
Brent
Member
Lol silly gfs
Fwiw, 12Z GEFS looks like it will come in much colder for at least the Midwest/Plains/TX vs earlier runs in week 2. Let's see whether or not the SER holds that back later in the run. Will be interesting to see what happens in it.
Off topic... I am probably messed up, but when I read this topic title Naughty November, I can’t help but think of Dirty Diana
Euro barely gets out of the 40s here Monday.
These dews are impressive
These dews are impressive
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
This pattern again...
Lol
Lol
Avalanche
Member
Ridge up into Alaska, but that Pacific Air. There are some definite cold spots in the Northern Hemisphere though. Its the obvious places, but Greenland and Central/Eastern Siberia are getting rocked!!!
If I did a winter forecast something similar to this would be my Dec/Jan composite. Feel like we get this on steroids at least once this winter and that's our window to score
The weeklies do flip the script as we head into the final week of November into December. Goes along with some of HM's musings with a flip in the MJO. Although that persistent trough over Alaska isn't pretty.
Hopefully that snowfall map is in the neighborhood of being right and we see that snowpack build in the northeast US and southeast Canada. It would be good the have a good source region for CAD.
Just stop
