I'll take number 2. Heck, I'll even take number 3 (not greedy).
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Naughty November
- Thread starter LickWx
- Start date
GFS and Euro both came back a little colder for next week.
OP Euro has back to back 40s here Wednesday and Thursday but the EPS mean is warmer. Pretty decent rollercoaster on temps for the next 2 weeks on the EPS, 56 on Thanksgiving and 58 on black Friday would be acceptable
Avalanche
Member
The cold air is available up in Canada, its just dipping down into the interior NW instead of the NE.
tennessee storm
Member
Typical La Niña. Cold goes nw ... the northwest and Alaska will have a brutal winter this year
Are these forecasts ever accurate?
GFS is cloudier in the western Carolinas on Sunday, keeps highs lower than previously modeled. Generally has trended that way for Charlotte and points west. Front now comes through between 18-0z
Feels like the clouds are never going to leave today
Yes, when the red line is ascending.
Chaseable?
Those lapse rates around 700-500mb are awful, I’d pass, that looks like a easy bust to me
Yeah, I was thinking similar. Was just surprised SPC bumped it up to 5%.
Member 9 says chase in Gatlinburg
First interesting euro run of the Cool season coming up ?
Damn, this isn’t far tho from needing a few changes, I could see a onset Wilkes ice setup with this look, lol 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Damn, we are still trending towards an even more -EPO later next week, goodness look at those height changes near Alaska. Starting to set the table for a gigantic arctic outbreak in late November.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
120E forcing in early December is a good way to erase the SE US ridge
I also find that ural blocking interesting, and whether it can turn into a -NAO in the future (GEFS more excited about it while EPS not so much) ?
that pattern here to isn’t bad either for some wintry precip close by especially if you get a nice SE Canada vortex and trailing wave, but it’s a long shot
that pattern here to isn’t bad either for some wintry precip close by especially if you get a nice SE Canada vortex and trailing wave, but it’s a long shot