Then bobbitt the cold weenie shows up
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Pattern Muddy March 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Then bobbitt the cold weenie shows up
Sat is gonna be close af 
LickWx
Member
I dont think the GFS has considered just how much of the snowpack we have lost to the north of us, it does terrible with predicting where there is snow on the ground still. Not too mention it is not aware of how much soil moisture we have lost. Therefore it is incorrect.
Geez lol 
Okay now we’re starting to get hot ... we’re not going to be able to control it much longer
Avalanche
Member
Im fine with that if there was some tropical moisture and showers associated with it. But we know, there will only be a few fairweather cumulous clouds.
Still though a depiction of a late month cool down is likely IMO eventually the atmosphere will put us in check and I’m hoping when it does .. we can pop out one more flizzard for good times sake
This pacific pattern is absolute vomit 
BHS1975
Member
That analog I keep using (last March) isn’t looking that bad 
Probably not but that leads to are small scale sst anomalies pattern drivers or results or larger scale factors? I'm leaning towards the latter
I'm sure someone will pull some stats but id guess the 90s had something similar and sometime in the 20s-50s. I think the 1910s might have sucked too but not sure
Is this even really a La Niña at this point 
SWVAwxfan
Member
Sounds like Columbia SC
Can we do something about that god forsaken warmth from India to california
LickWx
Member
It will eventually , we are entering a cycle of global cooling but this stuff takes time which is why I said we won’t feel the cooling till the 2030s in the southeast. This winter was a prime example of what’s coming , though I think we will go through some quite warm winters in the southeast before the flip . For example , the Gulf Stream is the weakest is been in thousands of years apparently this year !
SWVAwxfan
Member
No. That was "No reply at all".
SWVAwxfan
Member
7 degrees on March 18th???? Go home uncle. You're drunk.
This is basically February without blocking 
The pacific keeps trending into poop 
They seem fairly identical in nature .. other than all that blocking v16 is producing around Alaska .. way more than the normal Gfs ... what does that mean for us down the line or at this time .. if anything at all
Anything ranging from extreme cold to highs in the 80s, that pacific blocking look is no in between
Colder GFS run, still warm on v16, CMC backed off bigly on cold, yeah this time period is gonna have some uncertainties
Lol 
Winning heavy freezes at this stage, 25.9 this morning with a 6hr period spent <30. 32.3/26.8, a little slower to drop tonight but 29 certainly in reach. These will likely be the last hard freezes before Spring and the growing season takes hold.
Brent
Member
And here comes a -NAO.... just why 
You can really see the overall winter pattern breaking down wrt to shorter and shorter wavelengths across the NH towards the end on the euro, still cold around in NH ofc but overall teles are breaking down
Still a heck of a block .. I think you may have to worry about models picking up on it and maybe putting a damper on the SER if models continue seeing it. .. of course every model is about a 180 different right now every day so far .. so we wait a watch
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
Brad said that he would not count that fantasy storm since it was from a non-operational model. Why the change?
28
30
Jessy89
Member
28 3rd straight morning in 20s
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Let's see if we can hit 70 and get that rare 40 degree diurnal swing