Need the 500mb maps really
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Pattern Muddy March 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
LovingGulfLows
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
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Historic snowstorm for Denver on tap?
V16 SER to, damn, lack of blocking makes a difference 
The changes from the Aleutians to western Canada are LOLriffic over the last few days.
This is going to get everyone thinking the cold is gone .. then boom we going to get smacked around .. all that blocking near Alaska ... good god
Haha yep I mean they have almost flipped. As long as that continues we continue to west dump.
cd2play
Member
Yeah probably April. When we don’t want it.
“THE ICON IS THE NEW CRAZY UNCLE”
Canadian:
?
you keep showing the same period doing the same thing.. being warm .. we know it’s coming for this period .. post the cmc and their ensembles it would be funny to see the contrast especially later in the period
So this period has been warm the whole time ? This period is actually trending warmer per GEFS, so no it hasn’t been warm the whole time ??
Yes we know about the brief warmupSo this period has been warm the whole time ? This period is actually trending warmer per GEFS ??
View attachment 78221
Remember how cold this period was 
now mean highs are near the 70s 
now mean highs are near the 70s
Morchhhhh 
The period never had any real cold behind it .. I mean it’s an ensemble mean of 55-60 for most in the SE from the first pic .. wouldn’t really call that a cold look
Old from a day ago 
new 
new 
CMC says let's give it one more go!
Yeah that Aleutian ridge is just asking for a southeast ridge/western dump, what we had a few days ago was a AK/-EPO ridge, now that’s goneYep, the cold bias is now showing its ugly face as the 12 GFFS ens is sig warmer.
What we had before (AK ridge)
now (Aleutian ridge) 
Weren't you just saying yesterday that the GFS was on crack with it's warmer temps?Yep, the cold bias is now showing its ugly face as the 12 GFFS ens is sig warmer.
This thread has really gotten bewildering. One images shows cold and the next image shows warm and the next image shows torch and the next images shows snow across the northern US and the next image shows warm and the next image shows wedges and the next image shows SER and the next image shows a NE trough and the next image shows thunderstorms. What are we tracking here?
I blame you on the lack of big cold highs to our Ne this winterWeren't you just saying yesterday that the GFS was on crack with it's warmer temps?
This thread has really gotten bewildering. One images shows cold and the next image shows warm and the next image shows torch and the next images shows snow across the northern US and the next image shows warm and the next image shows wedges and the next image shows SER and the next image shows a NE trough and the next image shows thunderstorms. What are we tracking here?
All of the above really ?? spring Doing spring thingsWeren't you just saying yesterday that the GFS was on crack with it's warmer temps?
This thread has really gotten bewildering. One images shows cold and the next image shows warm and the next image shows torch and the next images shows snow across the northern US and the next image shows warm and the next image shows wedges and the next image shows SER and the next image shows a NE trough and the next image shows thunderstorms. What are we tracking here?
gawxnative
Member
Well with SPC "pulling the trigger" in the 4-8 Day Outlook, thoughts of starting a Tread for Severe 3/12-3/15. ?
You start it, looks solid esp for the western SE/central and southern plains
As expected, CMCE doesn’t match it’s OP ?
smast16
Member
I dunno about Greensboro, but 15 miles up the road I hit 23.
SpringWeren't you just saying yesterday that the GFS was on crack with it's warmer temps?
This thread has really gotten bewildering. One images shows cold and the next image shows warm and the next image shows torch and the next images shows snow across the northern US and the next image shows warm and the next image shows wedges and the next image shows SER and the next image shows a NE trough and the next image shows thunderstorms. What are we tracking here?
For cold lovers I don’t think you want to see a coupled TPV north of AK to the stratosphere, a SER imo is much more likely unless we tower that ridge into that TPV
Or a coupled SER
Last March is a solid example, ont
Difference is lower heights around Atlantic Canada which squeezes in CAD
Weren't you just saying yesterday that the GFS was on crack with it's warmer temps?
This thread has really gotten bewildering. One images shows cold and the next image shows warm and the next image shows torch and the next images shows snow across the northern US and the next image shows warm and the next image shows wedges and the next image shows SER and the next image shows a NE trough and the next image shows thunderstorms. What are we tracking here?
I thought it was on crack at the time with the big western cold dump as its own ensemble mean strongly disagreed with it, but maybe it wasn't after all.
What are we tracking? The always evolving pattern.
Does wxbell have 70mb?
We're down to the 10+ day CMC. Desperate times, call for desperate measures. December is a long time away.
That's fair. I had the wrong avatar right out of the gate. I will do better next year.