ATLwxfan
Member
Heavy wet variety. Hard time seeing ATL score but the mountains maybe?
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Pattern Muddy March 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Heavy wet variety. Hard time seeing ATL score but the mountains maybe?
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Even that looks to warm for SC. Wow
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
EPS phases but just a split second too late. Get this look but over the Apps or just barely west of that & we're golden. Still 5 ish days out, long ways to go
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
That's because there isn't precip falling over there and the surface low is weaker/flat so you get less cold advection. More amped low + more precip >>> colder sfc
Not good for our “snow” system if that pans out .. would most likely point towards that system being too suppressed as well
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Not necessarily, two completely different setups, the one in a few days is just an upper low, later this weekend is upper low + lots of potential northern stream interaction & thus more complicated. If the northern stream wave goes far enough SW that could actually carry this weekend's setup and still give us snow even if the upper low trends unfavorably.
True but it would mean that northern energy would have to work over time to make up the difference .. I’m hoping it won’t have to over compensate and our upper lows trend favorably to link up with the northern stream with more ease
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The upper low can trend unfavorably and the northern stream could feasibly back far enough SW to create a cyclone on its own, giving us a similar setup to mid Jan 2018. There's more than one way to score this weekend and the forecast isn't as straightforward.
Cadi40
Member
Does this event still hold any resemblance to Feb 2004?
Sorta, but feb 2004 was a mostly SS Bowling ball ULL type thing, I’d say the runs a few days ago resembled it more
Wednesday looks...lovely
LickWx
Member
MASSIVE NW Trend please ! Mean coldest max in March is 43 and I dang ain’t about to deal with upper 30s like it’s February out here!
cd2play
Member
Fixed
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Wow, a good trend for once
Less rain!
Less rain!
looks like after this cooler pattern, we may get another nice warmup, wouldn’t shock me if it trends warmer 
ensembles however after are bringing back a Baffin Bay block, which encourages lower heights around SE Canada, not done with cold rain CADs
ensembles however after are bringing back a Baffin Bay block, which encourages lower heights around SE Canada, not done with cold rain CADs
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
That's insane
Lol that’s not good given that pattern is favorable for CAD, could end up with CAD boundary tornado setups, those types of things especially become increasingly more Favorable later into spring, but yeah that western US trough signal is something
Lol we’re playing with fire keeping a strong/active sub-tropical jet, see how that worked out last year, wedges mane
