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Pattern Muddy March 2021

I could actually see something like this happening

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That was an awesome event! If I remember correctly we were only forecast to get 1-2 inches here but ended up with around 6. I lived in Morehead City at the time. It was coming down really heavily for a while with some gusty winds.
 
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Lol the SER was stronger the whole EPS run vs prior ones, had one the entire run, SE Canada vortex tho around d10+ so watch for CAD
 
Looks like a warmup getting extended on the EPS, hopefully those trends continue tonight, eventually we will cool down and probably get more mega frosts in late March/early April 3F537605-47DE-4CCF-AC5C-E0F265F309B3.png2616E357-C59C-41BF-85C6-BB2438F2430B.pngC9CEEFE6-677C-423F-AEF8-9AE6B927542B.pngE167A4DC-0F8D-4064-9F46-E6F971013A08.pngD0C35934-7890-4098-A2B8-8334B2EA848B.png4BA03266-DB00-4AB8-90D2-28FCB1D018BC.png
 
80 F at 1 PM? That would be nothing for here, where it has already been 5 or so warmer than that a couple of times in late Feb.
Accounting for the cold bias models seemingly have had (today for example) 85/86 would be possible, buts that just based off a model
 
just asking for multiday CADs with this look, hopefully the SER can flex more like it did at 12z8DD9D76B-AABC-4A4B-A685-4D0A92F59D45.pngA4AB345A-A402-4F8B-9DF4-9B94169FD681.png
 
Wow euro was headed for glory at the end there wow cold is coming back for sure that’s going to hurt after getting 60s

As much as I want to believe the cold returning late in the run (you must know I'm on the prefers cold team), the 12Z Euro ens was actually much warmer for March 13-16 vs the prior run. Also, it has had a strong cold bias in recent weeks. The run turned colder afterward to near normal, but that remains to be seen.

Bottom line: enjoy the next 6 or so days of gloriousness as there's no telling when it will return.
 
I am actually okay with that. As much as this dry period is nice, it's horrible for allergy sufferers. Rain keeps the pollen at bay.
That look would start serving up bigger severe wx, SE Canada vortexes cause CAD/winter wx but the later into spring we get, the more they can effect severe
 
Well, my station is having one of its unexplained downtimes that fixes itself eventually. Last reported 69F and a nearby station got to 70F
 
Last April was epic! Probably one of the most memorable svr weather seasons I've experienced here. Summer was great too. I long for the days of those late afternoon-evening summer boomers.
Yeah I’m pumped for summer storm season. That’s something we can almost always count on to be consistent
 
If you think we are done with the cold, I wouldn’t bet on it.
You’re probably right. Even our warmest winters always seem to have that cold spell sometime between mid-March to early April. All you can do is enjoy what we’ve got right now because it feels absolutely perfect outside!!!
 
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