Pattern Muddy March 2021

[SD]

No I wish

That GEFS run really wanted to plant the seeds for a potential -NAO late March-early April

 

[SD]

Well with SPC "pulling the trigger" in the 4-8 Day Outlook, thoughts of starting a Tread for Severe 3/12-3/15. ?

Go for it

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Sat is gonna be close

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This run is gonna have a bigger southeast ridge then lasts nights run

 

[BufordWX]

March living up to its name on the V16.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

A mess but

 

[smast16]

I'm liking the trends for next week too. I'm out that week putting in a french drain. Can't ask for better weather than upper 60's and sunny.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Perfect ridge position to pull high dews out the gulf

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lol the 12z euro is so close to locking us up with that sort of pattern, train of energy working down from AK, any shift west with that PNW ridge and we’re stuck with a ridge

 

[CraggyRider]

That GEFS run really wanted to plant the seeds for a potential -NAO late March-early April

Sounds like last year; the high country around here was still getting snow on May 9.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

But but it looked warm from the get go

 

[SD]

But but it looked warm from the get go View attachment 78252

can you zoom this out to NOAM?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

can you zoom this out to NOAM?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Epic kick in the nuts for y’all cold weenies per EPS

 

[Myfrotho704_]

@SD im pretty sure this isn’t ideal and rather a nod to the GEFS, am I correct

 

[SD]

@SD im pretty sure this isn’t ideal and rather a nod to the GEFS, am I correct View attachment 78255

More SE ridge most likely

 

[Myfrotho704_]

More SE ridge most likely

We don’t even get - height anomalies anymore, and the SER comes back again after the trough slides Ne

 

[SD]

We don’t even get - height anomalies anymore, and the SER comes back again after the trough slides Ne

Certainly doesn't seem like it 2018 cold shot broke the SE ridge

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Certainly doesn't seem like it 2018 cold shot broke the SE ridge

Honestly just seems like relying on the pacific to deliver cold doesn’t work out 95% of the time, we see how much Atlantic blocking worked but now that its gone (for now although euro/eps isn’t far from it) there isn’t much to suppress the southeast block

 

[Tarheel1]

For cold lovers I don’t think you want to see a coupled TPV north of AK to the stratosphere, a SER imo is much more likely unless we tower that ridge into that TPVView attachment 78234View attachment 78235

I think this can produce!