CMC says let's give it one more go!
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Pattern Muddy March 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Yeah that Aleutian ridge is just asking for a southeast ridge/western dump, what we had a few days ago was a AK/-EPO ridge, now that’s goneYep, the cold bias is now showing its ugly face as the 12 GFFS ens is sig warmer.
What we had before (AK ridge)
now (Aleutian ridge) 
Weren't you just saying yesterday that the GFS was on crack with it's warmer temps?Yep, the cold bias is now showing its ugly face as the 12 GFFS ens is sig warmer.
This thread has really gotten bewildering. One images shows cold and the next image shows warm and the next image shows torch and the next images shows snow across the northern US and the next image shows warm and the next image shows wedges and the next image shows SER and the next image shows a NE trough and the next image shows thunderstorms. What are we tracking here?
I blame you on the lack of big cold highs to our Ne this winterWeren't you just saying yesterday that the GFS was on crack with it's warmer temps?
This thread has really gotten bewildering. One images shows cold and the next image shows warm and the next image shows torch and the next images shows snow across the northern US and the next image shows warm and the next image shows wedges and the next image shows SER and the next image shows a NE trough and the next image shows thunderstorms. What are we tracking here?
All of the above really ?? spring Doing spring thingsWeren't you just saying yesterday that the GFS was on crack with it's warmer temps?
This thread has really gotten bewildering. One images shows cold and the next image shows warm and the next image shows torch and the next images shows snow across the northern US and the next image shows warm and the next image shows wedges and the next image shows SER and the next image shows a NE trough and the next image shows thunderstorms. What are we tracking here?
gawxnative
Member
Well with SPC "pulling the trigger" in the 4-8 Day Outlook, thoughts of starting a Tread for Severe 3/12-3/15. ?
You start it, looks solid esp for the western SE/central and southern plains
As expected, CMCE doesn’t match it’s OP ?
smast16
Member
I dunno about Greensboro, but 15 miles up the road I hit 23.
SpringWeren't you just saying yesterday that the GFS was on crack with it's warmer temps?
This thread has really gotten bewildering. One images shows cold and the next image shows warm and the next image shows torch and the next images shows snow across the northern US and the next image shows warm and the next image shows wedges and the next image shows SER and the next image shows a NE trough and the next image shows thunderstorms. What are we tracking here?
For cold lovers I don’t think you want to see a coupled TPV north of AK to the stratosphere, a SER imo is much more likely unless we tower that ridge into that TPV
Or a coupled SER
Last March is a solid example, ont
Difference is lower heights around Atlantic Canada which squeezes in CAD
Weren't you just saying yesterday that the GFS was on crack with it's warmer temps?
This thread has really gotten bewildering. One images shows cold and the next image shows warm and the next image shows torch and the next images shows snow across the northern US and the next image shows warm and the next image shows wedges and the next image shows SER and the next image shows a NE trough and the next image shows thunderstorms. What are we tracking here?
I thought it was on crack at the time with the big western cold dump as its own ensemble mean strongly disagreed with it, but maybe it wasn't after all.
What are we tracking? The always evolving pattern.
Does wxbell have 70mb?
We're down to the 10+ day CMC. Desperate times, call for desperate measures. December is a long time away.
That's fair. I had the wrong avatar right out of the gate. I will do better next year.