Pattern Muddy March 2021

[Myfrotho704_]

Could so easily become nasty severe wx...

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Uhhhh wtf
Look before the Easter Sunday outbreak
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just saying. Lol

 

[ForsythSnow]

Temps continue their slow decline while the DP is staying at a solid 22. GFS still suggesting something as with several short term models. Not holding my breath but we'll see.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Slowly loosing that big PNAish ridge (shocker)

 

[Myfrotho704_]

There’s nothing good on the models tonight tbh, just warmth and cad wudges

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

GEFS ensemble members tonight ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

GEFS ensemble members tonight ?

3/30 at hour 306 with 1 huge big dog skewing the mean ? yawn, that’s terrible

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This looks realistic, mountains will likely get some snow this March Especially before it ends, if it does I might take a trip

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Definitely cooler trends tonight tho

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The differences on the models wrt that N/S wave around day 5/6 in Canada is ridiculous, not gonna be figured out for a while, no model matches each other or agrees

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

SPRING! ? Is this the warm pattern?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

View attachment 77982


SPRING! ? Is this the warm pattern?

Not really much cold lol, and we’ve seen colder looks at D10 for what seems like a few days now vanish

 

[Myfrotho704_]

If we get any relaxation with that trough off the EC = severe wx, atm it’s squashing any real warm sector and reducing moisture return but it’s a look that needs to be watched

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Not really much cold lol, and we’ve seen colder looks at D10 for what seems like a few days now vanish View attachment 77983View attachment 77984

Obviously were awaiting the frontal passage temps would cool drastically after this point ? would be a good set up for a storm down the line

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Next Friday really looks like a beautiful day, probably gonna be widespread 70s with maybe 80s in SC with means already this decent

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Obviously were awaiting the frontal passage temps would cool drastically after this point ? would be a good set up for a storm down the line

we’re always waiting for storms past day 7, lol, anyways any chance of a “winter storm” is very unlikely, now cold rain or severe wx is more likely

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Gulf coast wejj

 

[Myfrotho704_]

No thanks

 

[Mr. Golf]

If we have a real mjo into phases 2-3, the models should trend colder in future runs. Eric mentioned that a few days ago I believe.

 

[Webberweather53]

If we have a real mjo into phases 2-3, the models should trend colder in future runs. Eric mentioned that a few days ago I believe.

Yep I believe we are starting to see the models adjust for that late in week 2 now that the Indian Ocean mjo wave and subsequent circulation anomalies that emanate from it are getting closer to initialization