Could so easily become nasty severe wx... 
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Pattern Muddy March 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Uhhhh wtf
Look before the Easter Sunday outbreak
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just saying. Lol
Look before the Easter Sunday outbreak
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just saying. Lol
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Temps continue their slow decline while the DP is staying at a solid 22. GFS still suggesting something as with several short term models. Not holding my breath but we'll see.
Slowly loosing that big PNAish ridge (shocker) 
There’s nothing good on the models tonight tbh, just warmth and cad wudges
GEFS ensemble members tonight ?
3/30 at hour 306 with 1 huge big dog skewing the mean ? yawn, that’s terrible
This looks realistic, mountains will likely get some snow this March Especially before it ends, if it does I might take a trip 
Definitely cooler trends tonight tho 
The differences on the models wrt that N/S wave around day 5/6 in Canada is ridiculous, not gonna be figured out for a while, no model matches each other or agrees
SPRING! ? Is this the warm pattern?
Not really much cold lol, and we’ve seen colder looks at D10 for what seems like a few days now vanish
If we get any relaxation with that trough off the EC = severe wx, atm it’s squashing any real warm sector and reducing moisture return but it’s a look that needs to be watched 
Obviously were awaiting the frontal passage temps would cool drastically after this point ? would be a good set up for a storm down the line
Next Friday really looks like a beautiful day, probably gonna be widespread 70s with maybe 80s in SC with means already this decent 
we’re always waiting for storms past day 7, lol, anyways any chance of a “winter storm” is very unlikely, now cold rain or severe wx is more likely
Gulf coast wejj 
No thanks 
Mr. Golf
Member
If we have a real mjo into phases 2-3, the models should trend colder in future runs. Eric mentioned that a few days ago I believe.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yep I believe we are starting to see the models adjust for that late in week 2 now that the Indian Ocean mjo wave and subsequent circulation anomalies that emanate from it are getting closer to initialization
Stormsfury
Member
All the bright banding over Charleston SC currently ... DP dropped 10 degrees in one hour to 25. 47 currently and some sleet is mixing.
Geez the eps isn't warm post D9. Op euro killed my warm Saturday too
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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I disagree
Eps continues to have a little snow activity toward mid month here too
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Too dry here for anything. Models over moisturized everything.
Wonder if the euro goes back to a warm Saturday, v16 warmed it up, if this day was to be warm I’d go with 80 in some spots 
I still think Saturday is safe 
This is ideal 
LickWx
Member
6 days out only !
that’s a little toasty 
This warmup is about to rise every tree and Bradford pear out of the dead
I thought today was suppose to be cool ? It’s 54, might get close to 60
We’re in the 40s here 54 is as high as we get today! .. enjoy ur urban heat island
Oof 
I find it funny how out of all models, the euro is the most progressive with that TPV piece in Canada, would think it would be the GFS doing that 
LickWx
Member
It’s 52 in Raleigh and you live In freaking Apex... population almost 100k
that big PNAish ridge slowly going up in flames 
LickWx
Member
PDO is negative and therefore favors a more negative PNA and less ridging out west .
Oops 
I knew the euro was to cold a few days ago