Pattern Muddy March 2021

[SD]

I’m honestly worried about this getting squashed and watching a late bloomer

That was my concern this morning but seeing the ensembles get more on board at 12/18z I'm worried we find a way to phase or hook it too far NW

 

[Shaggy]

Can't really be mad though getting more and more hits just hate to have to hold it for what 7 more days?

At this point you grab the reins and ride this bull and hope.for the best. Its gonna be what it is let's just keep it suppressed and close by until 48hrs then we can look for favorable adjustments.

Of course by tomorrow it will be a warm rain or severe threat but we hold on anyways.

 

[SD]

At this point you grab the reins and ride this bull and hope.for the best. Its gonna be what it is let's just keep it suppressed and close by until 48hrs then we can look for favorable adjustments.

Of course by tomorrow it will be a warm rain or severe threat but we hold on anyways.

Yeah barring a favorable break in mid to late month this may be the last real shot

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Tbh with that 50/50 configuration/-NAO block, that’s one of the most favorable looks this year as we’re avoiding the SE ridge to be involved in this setup, and no I’m not saying that just to --------

OTH that one January setup was also a favorable look but had no cold/snowpack above

 

[Ollie Williams]

You can tell why the 18z GEFS is better. Notice the lower heights over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. That is important to deepen the heights of the storm and pull it north.

 

[Ollie Williams]

That -NAO trend tho View attachment 77202

I can’t emphasize how much I love how the trough is positioned over the Pacific! That more or less matches up with my original KU event map.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I can’t emphasize how much I love how the trough is positioned over the Pacific! That more or less matches up with my original KU event map.
View attachment 77204

I was about to say that, almost a KU look

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Warm miser is salivating over how close this is to boom bam bop

 

[Webberweather53]

I was about to say that, almost a KU look

KU storms are usually cold rain here

 

[Myfrotho704_]

KU storms are usually cold rain here

Chasing it is ? I wonder how they are historically for Raleigh/CLT/GSO, I know the MA does well/the best with them

 

[mydoortotheworld]

Late to the party, is this the infamous March snowcane blizzard of death that one guy last year talked about?? Delayed but not denied!!!

 

[LickWx]

You can tell why the 18z GEFS is better. Notice the lower heights over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. That is important to deepen the heights of the storm and pull it north.
View attachment 77203

Let’s pull it north some more ! Look at that trend in Florida ! Mmmmm! Juicy amped cold rain please , it’s March yall snow lovers need to hop skip run bike bus train plane your booties on up to the Arctic !

 

[dsaur]

For once the low is in a good position for me. Some potential finally. The cold air will come around the mtns, and not have to glop over coming in thin from the nw. So many times west of here gets the good sleet from banked up thin treacle. Larry, how does this match up with 73? Or that sleet in the early 80's in Atl?

 

[Jessy89]

Let’s pull it north some more ! Look at that trend in Florida ! Mmmmm! Juicy amped cold rain please , it’s March yall snow lovers need to hop skip run bike bus train plane your booties on up to the Arctic !

But on the calendar winter doesn’t end till March 20th


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[Chandler]

Let’s gooooo

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Let’s goooooView attachment 77207

That’s a look we’re waiting for

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

But on the calendar winter doesn’t end till March 20th


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The calendar also says summer doesnt begin until June 20 but we know it starts way before that.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Let’s goooooView attachment 77207

Throw in the -NAO it’s missing and you’ll have 40 degree rain here

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Throw in the -NAO it’s missing and you’ll have 40 degree rain here

It’ll probably be gone by then, once these sort of spring -NAOs fall apart, the wheels completely fall off, although it could still very well last

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I love when these sorts of patterns fall apart, they can lead to torchy ones
Probably will likely get pushed back ?