Pattern Muddy March 2021

[Myfrotho704_]

One thing I find problematic is how models are so close to putting a rex block in the pacific and getting us stuck in with a EC trough, so close to it ??

 

[SD]

Yeah ,I don't think this is going to happen, especially when the Pacific during this timeframe still won't be great.

Euro is probably going to end of in the coldest quarter of it's ensembles at 12z. That's said the look is fairly possible we are just at the mercy of the wave off the west coast and the eventual wave break and where it occurs. Too touchy to really go all in either way

 

[Myfrotho704_]

What a disaster

 

[GaWx]

What a disaster View attachment 76959

No disaster at all. Summer can wait. It will be here for seemingly forever. But is this real?

 

[SD]

Yeah that lasts about two days before its back to above normal temps again. Nothing argues sustained blocking other than transient episodes so this will be your typical ups and downs of Morch

Yep looks like it unless we are able to wave break our way to a -nao. Then we get into some dookie pattern while places to the south and west have awesome seasonal days

 

[Myfrotho704_]

No disaster at all. Summer can wait. It will be here for seemingly forever. But is this real?

Not even that I want summer I think the weather we’re having now is awesome and I’d love for it to stay

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Lol why this is just a dry useless cold look View attachment 76951

We just need a backside clipper to snuff out all this love affair with spring sentiment growing on this board.

 

[Fisherman]

Watch the cold shift more towards Texas/AR/LA/MS/TN within the next run or 2 and we got near normal temperatures.

Good I’m done with winter. 75 currently in north Georgia and sitting on my screen in porch watching bugs and birds flying around. Btw.. I got a feeling mosquitoes are gonna be bad we really didn’t have ass kicking cold in Georgia it will be a different story in Mississippi!!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This is what’s needed

 

[LickWx]

this sucks, truly View attachment 76953View attachment 76954

Mean coldest March max is 43 so that’s actually outside of climo right there !

 

[GaWx]

12Z Doc snows on parts of W NC/E TN mountains on March 5th fwiw. Also, possible flurries/snow showers elsewhere!

 

[GaWx]

12Z Doc SE 7 AM temps day 10 (3/7) fwiw since just a 10 day cartoon...that would likely give a radiational light freeze all the way down to at least Hogtown @pcbjr as it has 30s well south of Orlando!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Don’t those phases not become as effective for cold tho later ? I know IO forcing in spring = cooler

 

[SD]

Don’t those phases not become as effective for cold tho later ? I know IO forcing in spring = cooler

This is why we need composite maps haha

 

[Chazwin]

Don’t those phases not become as effective for cold tho later ? I know IO forcing in spring = cooler

I always have understood that the deeper we go into March, the less impact MJO has

 

[EmersonGA]

I always have understood that the deeper we go into March, the less impact MJO has

Only in the phases that could help us. Anything that can help a torch will.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I always have understood that the deeper we go into March, the less impact MJO has

I know it definitely influences hurricane season but other then that getting later idk, I know it was the reason behind the May 2019 torch

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Dixie wedges

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Damn the old GFS needs to be thrown away quickly lol

 

[cd2play]

Dixie wedges View attachment 76977View attachment 76978

I guess next weekend’s cold snap disappeared