Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

[RollTide18]

Damn the RGEM is wet af near RDU...
View attachment 3056

Hmm RGEM doesn't look all that bad for Montgomery.

 

[SD]

Damn the RGEM is wet af near RDU...

Through 42

 

[RDUHeatIsland]

ICON is nutty, puts down 0.5 in qpf right over Wake co.

 

[SD]

RGEM isn't backing down

 

[LovingGulfLows]

RGEM still looks decent for me.

 

[deltadog03]

RGEM 700mb UVV. Um....should be some pretty good precip falling

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

We've seen an East GA warm nose before, now it looks like we'll see a South Carolina warm nose. That's really weird.

 

[deltadog03]

Trying to post the image

 

[Avalanche]

Icon looks good for the triangle north and west. Mainly rain for Rain Cold and I

Maybe being in northwest Chatham Co will save me here.

 

[Shawn]

00z RGEM:

 

[SD]

 

[Webberweather53]

The ICON drops a paint bomb of QPF on RDU this run... At least 0.5" in Wake County.

 

[Storm5]

Yeah the RGEM isn't horrible looking just shifted things around

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[Brick Tamland]

00z RGEM:

View attachment 3057

Wow, huge increase.

 

[SD]

Maybe being in northwest Chatham Co will save me here.

Not a bad spot

 

[Brick Tamland]

The ICON drops a paint bomb of QPF on RDU this run... At least 0.5" in Wake County.
View attachment 3058

RGEM matches it.

 

[Stormsfury]

Icon looks good for the triangle north and west. Mainly rain for Rain Cold and I

Actually the ICON contradicts itself too. It's way too aggressive with SFC temperatures and dewpoints. Just ran a check of 925/850mb temperatures across SC with that band...and should be snow falling, even if the SFC temp verifies ABV FRZ.

925mb/850mb - KCHS Wed 12pm - -2C/-3C

925mb/850mb - KCAE Wed 12pm - -5C/-8C

 

[deltadog03]

RGEM isn't backing down

That looks higher around here I think

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Somebody in AL gets a nasty dry slot and I think it's going to be in my area...

 

[Cary_Snow95]

So the icon shifted the jackpot east like the gfs and nam

 

[Arcc]

Yeah the RGEM isn't horrible looking just shifted things around

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Yeah, the past three runs of the RGEM a really just doing that. A .10 an inch of precip run to run isnt crazy.

 

[SD]

The ICON drops a paint bomb of QPF on RDU this run... At least 0.5" in Wake County.

All of the 0z models so far paint a QPF max either along the US1 corridor or just to the NW of the triangle. Not a bad place to be

 

[RollTide18]

Okay we didn't lose the RGEM, good news.

 

[Snowfan]

How good is the RGEM.

 

[SD]

Whoa, and still going at 48!

 

[Storm5]

Year, the past three runs of the RGEM a really just doing that. A .10 an inch of precip run to run isnt crazy.

Huh? What the A

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[Round Oak Weather]

Increased snow into Middle GA! Looking like the NAM 0z may just be a fluke?

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

2 maxes on the RGEM. One in foothills. One around triangle and north. I suspect the one over the foothills is the meso low and Lee side enhancement.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Increased snow into Middle GA! Looking like the NAM 0z may just be a fluke?

One of it's high res initialized badly on what's going on with this system so it might be a fluke.

The RGEM did well with early December and I think the early January storm.

 

[Weatherlover92]

2z HRRR

 

[Arcc]

Huh? What the A

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The last few runs of the RGEM are pretty consistent. Totals change a little, but the same idea remains.

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Gotta be some good rates falling in these bands...geez awesome for them

 

[JLL1973]

Memphis has updated my county to 2-5 inches. Shocked I'm not within the winter storm warning

 

[Round Oak Weather]

One of it's high res initialized badly on what's going on with this system so it might be a fluke.

The RGEM did well with early December and I think the early January storm.

Hope the RGEM continues to do good

 

[SCweather]

While modeling QPF may be increasing for CAE, the temperatures suck. Sorry guys. RGEM is basically a big fat 0, maybe some wraparound flurries.

Sorry? Man you say that everytime. I don't see how we get straight rain and a "wrap around flurry". I just don't buy that.

 

[Tagat]

He said he was looking at old maps. He corrected himself.

 

[deltadog03]

2z HRRR

I noticed the HRRX looks good too. Only goes out to 36hr on 0z run

 

[Webberweather53]

21z SREF 1"+ snowfall probabilities from College of Dupage... Looks good for RDU & the Triad

 

[accu35]

Up tic from gfs

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Gfs much better, playing catch up as always