Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

[$alt]

Not so much wetter yet; slower by a bit, sure. Should not be a fail for those to my West. Lets hope this helps GA/Carolinas. ;/

 

[Stormlover]

by 9am already an inch in the shoals area(nw ala),about double the 18Z

 

[Webberweather53]

This definitely has a shot to be a juicier system than some NWP models have been advertising especially closer to the Atlantic Coast in the SE US. Very impressive mid-level southwesterlies right off the Gulf of Mexico into the Carolinas, GA, & VA without much appreciable convection on the Gulf Coast to impede moisture transport.... Woof.

 

[Brett]

This definitely has a shot to be a juicier system than some NWP models have been advertising especially closer to the Atlantic Coast in the SE US. Very impressive mid-level southwesterlies right off the Gulf of Mexico into the Carolinas, GA, & VA without much appreciable convection on the Gulf Coast to impede moisture transport.... Woof.
View attachment 2894

love the looks of That!!

 

[$alt]

This definitely has a shot to be a juicier system than some NWP models have been advertising especially closer to the Atlantic Coast in the SE US. Very impressive mid-level southwesterlies right off the Gulf of Mexico into the Carolinas, GA, & VA without much appreciable convection on the Gulf Coast to impede moisture transport.... Woof.
View attachment 2894

This albeit slightly slower situation, and a bit more digging, can help the SW flow really start to work it's way into and increase precipitation chances the longer it takes, correct?

 

[Webberweather53]

This albeit slightly slower situation, and a bit more digging, can help the SW flow really start to work it's way into and increase precipitation chances the longer it takes, correct?

Exactly, this is the key element we've been missing since our early December event but we have it here...

 

[Parker]

00Z NAM is a great start for Central and Northern Alabama for tonights runs.

 

[$alt]

Ruh roh; some energy trying to creep into the trough from the West htis run vs 18z. Likely won't amount to much this go; but good to watch.

 

[JLL1973]

Nam gave me 2 inches not as juicy as 18z but I'll still take it

 

[Brett]

What’s that precip that’s offshore of NC moving west?

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

What’s that precip that’s offshore of NC moving west?

Think it's going to help redevelopment if the band dies as it has been doing.

(then again if there's a dual jet we shouldn't have the band dying)

 

[Stormlover]

better for central ala for sure

 

[Webberweather53]

Ruh roh; some energy trying to creep into the trough from the West htis run vs 18z.

Yeah this is trending towards a classic overrunning event for most on the board granted it probably will be more impressive further east

 

[Parker]

Band looks to stay together longer this run for our state.

 

[$alt]

Yeah this is trending towards a classic overrunning event for most on the board granted it probably will be more impressive further east

By 48, there is a piece really breaking off to help us out our way. Again, not something crazy, but any little bit helps here.

 

[accu35]

I notice with each run, theres moisture hanging longer towards south central Bama

 

[accu35]

Band hanging longer

 

[Metwannabe]

Wait till the end of the run and everyone has posted maps, comments, etc before you consider mby questions please.... most likely they will get answered. Thanks.....

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Might we be seeing what Chris has said a few times in that the models play catch up with a gulf tap/dual jet on how much moisture we should see?

 

[TheBatman]

And with this forecast there will be no milk or bread to be found. people lose their minds...just got home from Walmart and the bread is already almost gone

That’s the rpm model. It has been on the drier side with the gfs on this event.