Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

[$alt]

Band falls completely apart by hour 54. Lets see if we can get it back. Some in NC left over.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Still dry for ATL even with the positive trend

 

[accu35]

Much better

 

[jaymackd3]

That’s the rpm model. It has been on the drier side with the gfs on this event.

Yeah I guess it’s the conservative news channel model...it always looked drier doesn’t it?

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

There's the dual jet again with the band falling apart and dewpoints still being okay in Georgia/the Carolinas. Granted North Carolina will likely be fine though.

....what?

 

[Parker]

Much better

Yep, 1/2 inch for majority of Central Alabama, but with temps in the 22-27 degree range. I’d easily expect accumulations to be closer to 1 inch. QPF was right at .05 for most.

 

[Stormlover]

through midnight tues night

 

[RollTide18]

Big southward shift of precip on 0z compared to 18z

 

[Webberweather53]

There will probably be appreciable precipitation east of the mountains in NC in a setup like this, the flow is southwesterly for 24-30 hours straight @ 700 hPa (& strongly at that) before the longwave even reaches the NC/TN border

 

[Stormlover]

through midnight tues night

 

[SD]

Well

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[LovingGulfLows]

Why is the moisture transport being cut off before it hits the Atlanta area? I'm looking at RH field maps and 500 mb heights and can't understand it. There's still a decent SW flow at 54.

 

[Tarheel1]

Well

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Where's a good spot to be under that streak?

 

[$alt]

Bahaha that map shane just posted should be katie barred the door precipitation for GA & Carolinas at least.

\

 

[gawxnative]

Why is the moisture transport being cut off before it hits the Atlanta area? I'm looking at RH field maps and 500 mb heights and can't understand it. There's still a decent SW flow at 54.

Same question..lol

 

[RollTide18]

Why is the moisture transport being cut off before it hits the Atlanta area? I'm looking at RH field maps and 500 mb heights and can't understand it. There's still a decent SW flow at 54.

Yeah I'm still confused on why it's going poof in three hours.

 

[packfan98]

Less precip east of the mountains this run. Not sure why it’s not beefing it up with the look aloft.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Why is the moisture transport being cut off before it hits the Atlanta area? I'm looking at RH field maps and 500 mb heights and can't understand it. There's still a decent SW flow at 54.

We all don't. Everything points to that band shouldn't go bye bye but it does. Dewpoints are ok (unlike earlier this month), there's a dual jet look with a gulf tap, and the SW flow.

 

[$alt]

I guess we are going to get the whole "no forcing" argument here; but that flow and jet streak. nah man.

 

[Brett]

It just dies as it comes into eastern va and NC I don’t get it