Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

[olhausen]

Does it matter if you get 2" over 1hr or 5 hours?

Me personally I’d rather have at 5 hours if I’m going to end up with the same amount.

Sun will melt snow even with temps below freezing.

This is very true as I didn’t get above 25 the last two days but still lost about 2 inches of the 4 or so I got.

 

[Brick Tamland]

View attachment 2968

Which areas in the 1 to 4 range do you think will have a better chance of getting the higher amounts?

 

[sigwx]

Kbmx just extended their WWA to Troy, al,

Winter Weather Advisory
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
145 PM CST Mon Jan 15 2018

...SNOW MAY BRING SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS TO MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA
TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.An Arctic cold front will enter Northwest Alabama Tuesday
morning and move southeastward across Central Alabama Tuesday
afternoon into Tuesday night. This front should have enough
moisture and lift to generate a band of light to moderate snow,
which could potentially affect all of our forecast area. We will
need to watch and see if a second band can develop across the
southern third of the area during the evening and provide a higher
total down there as well. Though snowfall amounts are expected to
remain less than 2 inches, impacts to travel could be significant
due to temperatures falling into the 20s as the snow occurs.

ALZ011>015-017>036-160345-
/O.UPG.KBMX.WS.A.0001.180116T1200Z-180117T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KBMX.WW.Y.0002.180116T1200Z-180117T1200Z/
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-
Cherokee-Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-
Talladega-Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-
Coosa-
Including the cities of Hamilton, Sulligent, Vernon, Fayette,
Double Springs, Jasper, Oneonta, Gadsden, Anniston, Centre,
Heflin, Carrollton, Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, Hoover, Columbiana,
Pelham, Alabaster, Pell City, Moody, Talladega, Sylacauga,
Ashland, Roanoke, Livingston, Eutaw, Greensboro, Moundville,
Marion, Centreville, Clanton, and Rockford
145 PM CST Mon Jan 15 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM
CST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Plan on slippery road conditions,
especially during the evening commute on Tuesday. Total snow
accumulations of up to one inch are expected, with locally
higher totals of up to two inches.

* WHERE...Portions of northern and western Central Alabama.

* WHEN...From 6 AM Tuesday to 6 AM CST Wednesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at
times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow, means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered
roads and limited visibilities, and use extreme caution while
driving.

 

[Psalm 148:8]

I stand corrected

 

[Metwannabe]

Which areas in the 1 to 4 range do you think will have a better chance of getting the higher amounts?

The areas closer to the 2-5 region would be my guess

 

[BPATL]

FFC at their best per usual, LMAO...But yet the WAA goes all the way to SE AL, someone either KBMX or KFFC is going to have major egg, grids are way out of whack on this one...

DOES THIS MAKE SENSE AT ALL????

 

[ForsythSnow]

View attachment 2968

You don't happen to have the rest of the SE, would you?

Also, the 18Z NAM is coming in with more snow in MS.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

What. That's not smart. They are about to fail again. They just issued another special weather statement here. Only less than a half inch.

Idk for sure, I’m just guessing. The band is strenghthing on the models as it heads south. Yet no wwa there

 

[SCweather]

View attachment 2968

Woah. Youre going big I see. Lol

 

[ForsythSnow]

FFC says the snow hole near GVL is because of downsloping. Um, what. I don't think I have heard this happen before.

 

[Brick Tamland]

The areas closer to the 2-5 region would be my guess

I was wondering further south or north would have the best shot.

 

[JHS]

View attachment 2968

Hopefully that be right. It seems to imply that I could get 1-2 inches of snow where I am in SC. I'd take it.

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

I had hope the Euro would get back to what it was showing earlier, but it looks like it just won't get there. Alas, the biggest winner if this was going to work out was North Carolina anyway due to the redevelopment but a lot of Georgia will see some light snow. How much, who knows.

 

[accu35]

18z Nam has precip field expanding in MS

 

[Stormlover]

he latest(15z) SREF(short range ensemble forecast) model shows a mean(average) of snowfall for the following locations, and it is rising:
Muscle Shoals 1.55 inches
Ft. Payne 1.4 inches
Huntsville 1.2 inches
Gadsden 1.08 inches
Cullman 1.06 inches
Anniston 1.04 inches
Birmingham .84 of an inch
Tuscaloosa .72 of an inch
Auburn .59 of an inch
Montgomery .54 of an inch
Dothan .11 of an inch

 

[ForsythSnow]

The 500vort is a tick south as well. Probably going to cause more moisture pull from the Gulf.

 

[Stormlover]

 

[Webberweather53]

The 500vort is a tick south as well. Probably going to cause more moisture pull from the Gulf.

Yep, the 500 hPa look is much improved already thru 18 hours...

 

[Rick]

That's great

he latest(15z) SREF(short range ensemble forecast) model shows a mean(average) of snowfall for the following locations, and it is rising:
Muscle Shoals 1.55 inches
Ft. Payne 1.4 inches
Huntsville 1.2 inches
Gadsden 1.08 inches
Cullman 1.06 inches
Anniston 1.04 inches
Birmingham .84 of an inch
Tuscaloosa .72 of an inch
Auburn .59 of an inch
Montgomery .54 of an inch
Dothan .11 of an inch

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

The NAM looks pretty good so far, let's see where she goes...