Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

[Brick Tamland]

ICON is wrong on temps here. I will eat two dozen bags of crow if RDU reports more than one hour of rain/snow mix at onset. There its on record and I will revisit this post after the event lol.

Marked.

 

[Storm5]

Turning into an overrunning event with the Gulf getting involved

This, hell even the initial band of snow that develops back towards the West is more a reflection of the trough and the SW flow . Clippers normally bring their own moisture, this moisture is SW flow related . Now over Missouri and northern Arkansas that's clipper related moisture

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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

CMC just delivered the goods to upstate sc

 

[Tarheel1]

GEM drivers .3+ QPF in the upstate. We can afford some totals cut by rain with that type of precip

Finish off with temps crashing into the 20s, and some higher ratios, could we score a 3 incher, with rgem, I think so! We are close to the .5

 

[Brick Tamland]

CMC just delivered the goods to upstate scView attachment 2945

Looks like 1 to 3 for most of NC, too. Nice!

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Snowmagedon 2.0 hmmmmmmm ponder on this, I will

 

[jaymackd3]

When do the next SREF plumes come out?

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

Only thing I hate about this if this works out is it's a quick hitter.

 

[mjscott30]

I'm really surprised at how well models are trending!

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Finish off with temps crashing into the 20s, and some higher ratios, could we score a 3 incher, with rgem, I think so! We are close to the .5

Could be a surprise but you and I both know how long it takes to get the cold air south of I85. I think the cold air to our southwest may be helping aid the cold air delivery?

 

[Avalanche]

Only thing I hate about this if this works out is it's a quick hitter.

Narrow band with some training effect.

 

[Tarheel1]

Only thing I hate about this if this works out is it's a quick hitter.

Does it matter if you get 2" over 1hr or 5 hours?

 

[Snowflowxxl]

It’s a quick hitter but temps are gonna be in the freezer all day Wednesday. Snow ain’t going no where!

 

[farleydawg792]

RGEM reversed the east ATL donut hole and gave us a decent amount of snowfall for a change.

And that ends at 12z and the radar simulation would show more snow falling afterwards.... not much more though.

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[Stormsfury]

CMC just delivered the goods to upstate scView attachment 2945

It would likely deliver all the way to tge coast in SC given a thermal check aloft. On TT, where areas of rain are showing along the inland coastal region, it would start as, but thermals aloft crash exponentially and within 6 hours during the middle, the coastal region already has 850mb temperatures of -5 and lower.

Over NC, 700mb and 850mb temperatures are unbelievably low, indicating potentially an unstable setting, with some convective elements getting involved.

 

[Kylo]

Looks like 1 to 3 for most of NC, too. Nice!

We may be on the fringe of the heavy snows but it appears we will see some snow which is always nice.

 

[Brick Tamland]

We may be on the fringe of the heavy snows but it appears we will see some snow which is always nice.

I think we'll see snow. How much depends on the ratios.

 

[ontherocks]

So we do or do not believe in the NAM snow hole in NEGA? Is the determining factor whether or not this taps the gulf or is something else at work?

 

[Showmeyourtds]

Ha! Goofy says no for Atlanta! Gotta love it

 

[SoutheastRidge]

It’s a quick hitter but temps are gonna be in the freezer all day Wednesday. Snow ain’t going no where!

Sun will melt snow even with temps below freezing.