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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

Webb you are a mesoscale man, do you think areas just west of the Triangle (Chatham/Randolph/Alamance/Guilford) could fare better than Wake/Durham?
 
When was the last time a clipper grabbed gulf moisture? Great to see the flow more SW than NW for a change!
 
DadOfJax said:
Nah...if Gulf tap happens, it will occur along 20/59 corridor as well...and thats where your 20:1 ratios will be.
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Possible, but the greatest moisture transport won't happen until the trough tilts and that will occur until the front is across southern AL unless it trends more quicker.

As far as ratios are concerned, don't count on anything greater than 10/1 and then be surprised if it is greater.


Edit: I meant to add "if" this occurs and there is enough lift to realize the moisture feed.
 
Brick Tamland said:
I think we'll see snow. How much depends on the ratios.
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Brick we'll get the ratios in NC. Im thinking atleast 13-15:1 over my way. Put my call map out for my little 4 county area and went with 2-5. Really think someone can lollipop and get to the 6 inch mark along 85 corridor.
 
Still going to wait until the evening EURO comes in to count the chickens but the trends are good. After that the NAM will do a good job on the thermal profiles although it does tend to magnify the QPF some. Someone in the Triad or foothills could see some heavy snow for a few hours and get a lollipop of 8" or so IF trends continue, I am putting that area being Frosty's for my money
 
Arcc said:
Possible, but the greatest moisture transport won't happen until the trough tilts and that will occur until the front is across southern AL unless it trends more quicker.

As far as ratios are concerned, don't count on anything greater than 10/1 and then be surprised if it is greater.
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I agree we need a quicker tilt . But with that saod the trends overall are much better

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RAP at 6AM
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Interesting to see the trends little scary over here in E AL having to wait on redevelopment of band to cash in always a thin line there... But for a Clipper I would cash in right now


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Also the UK seems to follow the GFS in its depiction of the interior coastal plain (Wake Forest to Roanoke Rapids)being the biggest of the winners here for Central NC.
 
Xtreme Weather said:
Interesting to see the trends little scary over here in E AL having to wait on redevelopment of band to cash in always a thin line there... But for a Clipper I would cash in right now


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If the secondary band develops there will be weeping and gnashing of teeth in the shaft zone.
 
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