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Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

Ground truth from 33/40 tracker shows that, even where snow has been falling all morning, there just isn't a lot of impact and barely even noticeable in the grassy areas.
 
Light snow/graupel here. 30°F


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Storm5 said:
Thats the key once the tilt starts she will slow down . Get under the band as it pivots and boom

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The HRRR thinks that area could be around here or somewhere in GA. Have to hope for the best that we get a good pivot and then south of here including ATL gets it as well.
 
Feeling okay for the Western Midlands of SC. Once you get to Columbia and Southeast, temperature problems.

NWS CAE alludes to this, and we should be getting new advisories in the coming while.
 
DadOfJax said:
Ground truth from 33/40 tracker shows that, even where snow has been falling all morning, there just isn't a lot of impact and barely even noticeable in the grassy areas.
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they also have not had any good rates really to speak of.

Feel like most of the areas that he is driving through is in that drier area depicted by the models.
 
My local forecast has my heavier snow hitting around 7 pm tonight. Light stuff before than
 
I've noticed since this is a dry powder type snow because it's in the 20s (which is more uncommon in the south), it is falling between the grass blades instead of sticking to and building on top of the grass like the more common wet snows we usually get.
 
So is it looking like far northwest Georgia is going to get dry slotted?


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My temps shouldn't be a problem, im sitting at 35 currently
 
Parker said:
they also have not had any good rates really to speak of.

Feel like most of the areas that he is driving through is in that drier area depicted by the models.
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That is actually not surprising. Light rates with low water content snow is probably allowing solar radiation to melt it and the wind to dry the road before it freezes.
 
Shawn said:
Feeling okay for the Western Midlands of SC. Once you get to Columbia and Southeast, temperature problems.
Shawn you think we can squeak out something in west cola?
NWS CAE alludes to this, and we should be getting new advisories in the coming while.
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southmissvly_loop.gif
According to this, the band is forming
 

@Spurs up up I think you're okay anywhere between half and inch to 1 1/2 inches or so. Depends on where heavier rates setup, always surprises in a situation like this. Upper air aloft will beat out a weak layer of warmer air at the surface as long as you have an okay rate of snowflakes coming down.
 
Shawn said:
@Spurs up up I think you're okay anywhere between half and inch to 1 1/2 inches or so. Depends on where heavier rates setup, always surprises in a situation like this. Upper air aloft will beat out a weak layer of warmer air at the surface as long as you have an okay rate of snowflakes coming down.
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ok cool thanks!
 
Looks like the event is almost over for us up here in NW AL. Looks like the Florence area where I'm at will finish around 1" with maybe 1.25" in some areas.
 
DadOfJax said:
Ground truth from 33/40 tracker shows that, even where snow has been falling all morning, there just isn't a lot of impact and barely even noticeable in the grassy areas.
Click to expand...
Lol negative nancy. Its the deep south. We arnt even supposed to have snow. Be happy we get to see something.
 
The event is almost over for us up here in NW AL. Looks like the Florence area where I'm at will finish around 1" with maybe 1.25" in some areas.
 
DadOfJax said:
Back end of the band making its way through Columbus, MS now...booking it! If I were in the Montgomery area, I would be feeling good about my chances. Anyone from down that way?
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I am. It'll probably come in as rain, then switch over to snow. Will be a mess. I'm hoping they'll let state workers out sooner rather than later.
 
ghost1 said:
Looks like the event is almost over for us up here in NW AL. Looks like the Florence area where I'm at will finish around 1" with maybe 1.25" in some areas.
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Congrats! Looks like you guys may be the winner if the SE portions of BMX CWA doesn't luck up in the pivot area.
 
DadOfJax said:
Congrats! Looks like you guys may be the winner if the SE portions of BMX CWA doesn't luck up in the pivot area.
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Had enough ignore button on

If the amount of time you use to downplay an event was put into looking at the models, radar and atmospheric conditions it would be different. You can clearly see intensity levels increase on radar and short term models continue to improve along and E of the I-59 corridor
 
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