Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

[BKWRN29]

RGEM for the win

Did this just come out?

 

[StoneMtnWx]

Definitely good start to the day with 12Z runs...RGEM puts Atlanta in the 1-2" range.

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Holy moly the RGEM!!!!!! Also the ICON busted pretty hard on precip on one storm earlier in the year. It and the NAM had way too much.

 

[accu35]

 

[Webberweather53]

It's pretty clear where the GFS is going w/ this. It's trending towards the DWD-ICON & got caught w/ its pants down again...

 

[mrdaddyman]

DWD-ICON looks like it's almost a packfan bullseye. 0.5" QPF max near Salisbury would end up being more than 6" of snow w/ 12-15:1 ratios
View attachment 2942

Yeah, but, the Icon gives central NC about 6+ hours of rain. NOT GOOD. Hope it's too warm. Usually, the NAM models are very good with temperature profiles so I hope they are correct.

 

[RollTide18]

Whoa! I wasn't expecting that. There would be serious travel issues if that verified.

 

[Metwannabe]

The GFS is trending in the right direction but is still dry as a bone (lol go figure). This model is playing catch up...

Personally I approve of this GFS run...

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[accu35]

Whoa! I wasn't expecting that. There would be serious travel issues if that verified.

Yeah, with temps in the 20s

 

[Brick Tamland]

Yeah, but, the Icon gives central NC about 6+ hours of rain. NOT GOOD. Hope it's too warm. Usually, the NAM models are very good with temperature profiles so I hope they are correct.

Need the precip from the ICON and temps from the NAM. I think 1300 said yesterday it should be cold enough around here for mostly snow.

 

[Webberweather53]

Yeah, but, the Icon gives central NC about 6+ hours of rain. NOT GOOD. Hope it's too warm. Usually, the NAM models are very good with temperature profiles so I hope they are correct.

Yeah this is what I was afraid of and alluded to yesterday that mixing could become an issue SE of Greensboro & Roxboro esp at the start of the event... The central-western piedmont will be fine, from US HWY 1 & points east not as confident...

 

[Metwannabe]

Yeah, but, the Icon gives central NC about 6+ hours of rain. NOT GOOD. Hope it's too warm. Usually, the NAM models are very good with temperature profiles so I hope they are correct.

Honestly and not wishcasting, I'd gi with the NAM on temps it always does well with that. I think there will be some mixing at the onset but it should be a quick change over Central and Northwestern Piedmont of North Carolina looks solid to me

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[StoneMtnWx]

Here is closer look of RGEM from PW with Kuchera totals through 48 hours...

 

[Storm5]

Rgem with a clear gulf tap

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[Arcc]

Rgem with a clear gulf tap

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No doubt. Jackpot area may be across south AL into south GA if that happens.

 

[ForsythSnow]

CMC is good as well. Band never falls apart and strenghtens in GA. Let's reel this in!

 

[accu35]

CMC is good as well. Band never falls apart and strenghtens in GA. Let's reel this in!

Got Map? My TT is slow lol.

 

[Metwannabe]

For. NC peeps from Huffman....hmm where will the sweet spot be?



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[Brick Tamland]

For. NC peeps from Huffman....hmm where will the sweet spot be?



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Maybe in the middle. That would be fine by me.

 

[Usmeagle2005]

Just wondering why gets moist just sout of Memphis, dries up some northeast ms for a bit then comes back together, what causes that? Promise I’m happy where I’m at, just wondering.