12z NAM so far is more similar to the 0z euro thang the 6z gfs. Still pushing the trough slightly farther west
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Agreed and a light to moderate widespread event would be great. Too bad Rah NWS don't think the drier trends are over... they say both EC and GFS are trending drier, rain, rain/snow mix to snow, blah blah blah. Just once in their AFD,, not forecast just discussion I'd like to see them at least acknowledge the potential especially when some models, ie: last nights Euro were showing an increase (in all fairness sometimes depending on who is writing they will). I get conservative in forecast but you'd think the discussion would actually discuss all possibilities if only briefly...Yeah the drier trend looks to be over . Also and most importantly a slower trough progression seems to be the new trend. If correct, that is huge and exactly what we want
If they would only brick write an AFD, just once . It would be epicAgreed and a light to moderate widespread event would be great. Too bad Rah NWS don't think the drier trends are over... they say both EC and GFS are trending drier, rain, rain/snow mix to snow, blah blah blah. Just once in their AFD,, not forecast just discussion I'd like to see them at least acknowledge the potential especially when some models, ie: last nights Euro were showing an increase (in all fairness sometimes depending on who is writing they will). I get conservative in forecast but you'd think the discussion would actually discuss all possibilities if only briefly...
Now your taking it too far Lol...If they would only brick write an AFD, just once . It would be epic
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Yes sir definitely a juicer run thus far..It's showing more moisture since there is a better tilt in the upper levels, which is allowing a better moisture flow.
Much better moisture flow, 700mb level getting and it's already showing 4" in parts of Tn at this point tooIt's showing more moisture since there is a better tilt in the upper levels, which is allowing a better moisture flow.
From recent experiences, I say this trend continues. We will keep seeing trends like this, a further SW trough location, and a better storm. I don't care about the stubborn GFS, but if the CMC and Euro have the same trend idea we are going to get something great.Still evident trend to dig further SW.
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And good SW flow out aheadStill evident trend to dig further SW.
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