Wintry More SE Snow ? (1/16-1/18)

[Storm5]

The nam kicks the 12z runs off with a bang . Nice way to start the day . Hopefully we see the other models head in this direction as well

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[SD]

Energy along the west coast is slightly slower. Could be enough to allow the southern end of the trough to dig and tilt negative

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[Metwannabe]

The energy is so far SW that it's almost touching Texas at 57 hours, this is close to the 00z Euro run from last night

The old EE rule right? Lol

 

[RollTide18]

And it dries up before it gets here lol still good run.

 

[SCweather]

Annnnd it dwindles apart. Hopefully it gets wetter each run.

 

[deltadog03]

Nam starting to elongate the trough and putting a lot more energy in the plains and shifting it west vs 6z. Probably going to be a big run

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I noticed it shearing out the part of the trof a bit over the great lakes and putting more in the SW portion of it...euro was trending that way last night too

 

[Tarheel1]

Yeah, really vanishes in E TN. Not good for Carolina peeps.

 

[ForsythSnow]

Weak low showing up off the Carolinas, much closer than the last run. Maybe this can re develop the snow band.

 

[Metwannabe]

Energy along the west coast is slightly slower. Could be enough to allow the southern end of the trough to dig and tilt negative

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And @63 you can see moisture gathering over the Atlantic just off the coast, should see a good increase over Central NC here shortly with this run I think..... let's see, has potential to be a good hit

 

[SD]

I noticed it shearing out the part of the trof a bit over the great lakes and putting more in the SW portion of it...euro was trending that way last night too

Yeah that elongation is what the early model runs with the big qpf totals had where the southern energy separated and went negative. We need that badly.

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[tennessee storm]

man i done had enough snow here... ;hope rest can score big on this... nam got me worried... i still cant get out my driveway lol

 

[ForsythSnow]

NVM, it's not going to do it as well as last run.

 

[Kylo]

Bulk of Tennessee covered in snow extending into MS/AL.

 

[RollTide18]

Bulk of Tennessee covered in snow extending into MS/AL.

Definitely looking like a 20/59 north event in Alabama.

 

[deltadog03]

Yeah that elongation is what the early model runs with the big qpf totals had where the southern energy separated and went negative. We need that badly.

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Whats interesting to me is the euro dried up a bit and then generated more qpf. NAM actually looks better at
H5 comparing to last nights euro but doesn't generate more qpf...euro did...I still think NAM should have more but the trends are really good

 

[Xtreme Weather]

QPF trending wetter still


RGEM did this on 6z at end of it's run as well waiting on 12z

 

[accu35]

Nam 3km is juiced up as well

 

[Jon]

closes off at 84 hours over TN!!! Wow....thats what we get when the energy digs all the way to TX/OK panhandle. Big run for NC and SC!

 

[SD]

And @63 you can see moisture gathering over the Atlantic just off the coast, should see a good increase over Central NC here shortly with this run I think..... let's see, has potential to be a good hit

Slower for us 78-84 should have precip devolving over the area when the best jet dynamics and fgen move through

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[Metwannabe]

End of the run about to get good for Carolinas.... nice trend