tennessee storm
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Bye bye dead winter ...
Bye bye dead winter ...
Birmingham has had nearly 13” of rain in February and well over 20” for the year. Last thing we need is another heavy rain event. Some surrounding areas have had over 25” this year.Yep, axis of rain keeps shifting southward.
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Easy to see why we've gone this way. Maybe we'll keep ticking south and push most of the heavy rain towards the Gulf coast instead.
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Yep and that southward trend has prompted the possibility of some sort of phased system somewhere off the southeast.. trouble will be cold air .. and exactly how the system sets up is still wonky on the modelsYep, axis of rain keeps shifting southward.
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Easy to see why we've gone this way. Maybe we'll keep ticking south and push most of the heavy rain towards the Gulf coast instead.
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That the Don’Nado?Maybe if we made a few tweaks to this the next day or two, something substantial could come out of it (not necessarily in terms of snow).
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Unless it's gonna dive all the way to Jamaica, I don't think so.That the Don’Nado?
Hey Webb meant to ask this before, but just curious.... I see a 4.8 on the Feb. 20-21 map just to my north (which helps me feel better about my 4.5 measurement), was that a report given to you or where was that report from? If you don't mind my asking... thanksWe've got a few takers on this EPS suite trying to make things interesting for climo favored areas of the far western & NW piedmont of NC into the mid-Atlantic by about this time next week. Gonna need some significant large-scale changes to get a storm to threaten even these areas but I don't think the odds of it happening are zero (yet).
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If we can slow this entire longwave pattern down a bit and amplify it, we might have something here, otherwise... snore. We're at that time of the season where many of the classical mid-winter teleconnections breakdown like the PNA. The wavelengths are short enough in March that trough on the west coast (-PNA) can actually produce another corresponding E US trough.
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Fwiw, the EPS is trending in the right direction to give us a glimmer of hope for one last shot of snow next weekend. If we can shift the center of that ridge axis towards ND/MT and the E US trough to have that orientation over roughly the Apps, it might be game on.
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Including what happened yesterday & earlier today (which I will map later tonight), we've officially at least seen least flakes in the air east of the mountains in the Carolinas 4 of the last 5 weekends. Will we make it 5 of 6?
Maybe, just maybe... winter isn't quite over yet.
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Hey Webb meant to ask this before, but just curious.... I see a 4.8 on the Feb. 20-21 map just to my north (which helps me feel better about my 4.5 measurement), was that a report given to you or where was that report from? If you don't mind my asking... thanks
Cool thanks. Something I saw a lot of the next day were broken tree limbs, especially pines (even some small trees down). Some large limbs too, another inch of that heavy wet snow and we would've had some issuesI saw a few reports in/around northern Halifax county between roughly 4.5-5", I placed this value in the general area of where these reports occurred s.t. the map looked a bit cleaner/less cluttered. Looks like you hit the jackpot in this storm east of the mountains
Something can't die if it never existsBye bye dead winter ...
I lam literally praying that it will at least not friggin rain until after lunch Monday! Maybe it will keep moving south and straight to hell! Week after week ruining my barn raising. Rain, get too muddy, dry a tiny bit, rain. Wash rinse and repeat. I could throw up. Is it possible it could not be so rainy? Move on to the south? Please say yes...Urgggg.Yep, axis of rain keeps shifting southward.
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Easy to see why we've gone this way. Maybe we'll keep ticking south and push most of the heavy rain towards the Gulf coast instead.
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