• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern Microwave March

Wow, even Rockford, IL near the IL-WI border was blanked in January & February. Absolutely mind-boggling especially for an area that averages about 20" in Jan-Feb.
View attachment 242
I hate Rockford - I spent the night in a police station for parking on the lake .... (think about that)

no charges - btw - just it seemed that parking on the lake next to their snow plows was a nuisance! On the friggin' lake -
 
I hate Rockford - I spent the night in a police station for parking on the lake .... (think about that)

This is going to get way off topic but I remember my grandma has told me in the small towns of South Carolina, getting into those towns is a speed trap and if you don't slow down in time, you are going to be pulled over for speeding if there are cops around and some of those cops are going to pocket the money from the speeding. There was one time where she has even said that there was a cop car posted RIGHT when the speed limit really goes down.
 
This is going to get way off topic but I remember my grandma has told me in the small towns of South Carolina, getting into those towns is a speed trap and if you don't slow down in time, you are going to be pulled over for speeding if there are cops around and some of those cops are going to pocket the money from the speeding. There was one time where she has even said that there was a cop car posted RIGHT when the speed limit really goes down.
I bet she wasn't parking on a frozen lake - something a N FL boy thought was OK since they had snow trucks out there - but Noooo - I was a nuisance and causing a hazard - but no charges and actually I got good hot choc from the officer!!! it was 7º below, BTW
 
This is the March discussion thread please keep it on topic. If it's off topic debate then go to banter if it's out right personal take it to PM, either way in this thread please discuss March WEATHER. We're trying to have a laid back atmosphere but damn it's getting difficult.

Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk

This^^^

And let's make Microwave March great again!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
This^^^

And let's make Microwave March great again!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
hoping it's not a fantasy!

2017022618_CON_GFS_SFC_SLP_THK_RH_384.gif
 
We could really use another storm like this one to lighten the mood, but too bad that's not happening... :/ I was only 8 years old at the time but I vividly remember seeing snow totals approaching 12-14" in portions of Robeson and Scotland counties before a changeover to rain melted more than half of it. I ended up w/ 8" at my house (only one of 3x in my life I've seen that much snow) when we were only anticipating ~ 1-3" before it went over to rain... What massive bust this storm was along/north of the I-40 corridor esp NW of RDU and near the VA border where they were initially anticipating at least 6-12" of snow. Oops.
View attachment 236
The snowfall rates during the thundersnow were incredible. It looked like a waterfall of mashed potatoes. Places up the road from me around the South Park area received 20" of snow.
February_2004_Snowfall.jpg
 
This is the March discussion thread please keep it on topic. If it's off topic debate then go to banter if it's out right personal take it to PM, either way in this thread please discuss March WEATHER. We're trying to have a laid back atmosphere but damn it's getting difficult.

Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
Agreed. I feel like crap today so I took a few hours away and it's still going. Like you said we don't want to over moderate but I'm going to start deleting and moving posts soon

Sent from my SM-G928V using Tapatalk
 
As we're starting to near the time of the year where large-scale SSTA distributions, and amplitude begin to seriously matter for the upcoming hurricane season, it's probably worth bringing up the fact that although the SSTA configuration and inter annual trends in the AMO have been generally meh of late, the tropical Atlantic is currently the warmest basin relative to average at the moment and the Atlantic Meridional Mode (AMM) (which emerges as the 2nd leading mode (EOF) of SST variability in the Atlantic behind the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) is significantly positive w/ stronger than normal trades leading to anomalous upwelling in association w/ the Benguela current off southwestern-Equatorial Africa... In spite of the lower amount of overall tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic, the strong +AMM has become a prominent feature since the AMO crashed in the spring of 2013 (not coincidently immediately following the largest greenland land ice melt year on record in 2012) and has led to an increase in African Easterly Wave (AEW) activity of late, as indicated by the above normal precipitable water anomalies (in blue/purple) over western-central Equatorial Africa and the Sahel. Additionally, stronger AEWs are more likely to survive the trek across the Atlantic and develop closer to landmasses (including the US) further north & west, thus even w/ unfavorable vertical wind shear, underlying SSTAs in the tropical Atlantic, SAL, local hadley cell expansion, etc, this would offset some of the reduction in Atlantic TC activity induced by these aforementioned parameters and a slower thermohaline circulation (THC)...

JISAO Sahel precipitation anomalies (1900-Present). Note that we've just experienced the first 2 year+ string of above normal Sahel precipitation anomalies since the 1960s!! Are we entering into a new multidecadal wet Sahel regime?
Screen Shot 2017-02-26 at 9.52.05 PM.png


SST/10 m winds and precipitation anomalies corresponding to a +AMM
atl.gif


2013-16 Equatorial Atlantic SSTAs (dataset: Reynolds High Resolution Optimum Sea Surface Temperature Analysis Version 2)
piYiZBiYIe.png


2013-16 Equatorial Atlantic Precipitable water anomalies (dataset: NCEP NCAR Reanalysis Version 1). Again note the above normal precipitable water anomalies in blue/purple over western-central Sub-saharan and Equatorial Africa, indicative of a stronger than normal AEW train.
zdG0wNiAn9.png


Obviously, the east-central pacific may try to catch up, and if the big far eastern Pacific +SSTAs persist into the summer, that would attempt to squelch activity in the Caribbean, but take this with a massive grain of salt because the oceanic heat content there is not impressive whatsoever and this area of the pacific is very susceptible to intraseasonal and atmospheric white noise forcing...

cdas-sflux_ssta_relative_global_1.png
 
Last edited:
I really hope to get some rain this week only .67 in the backyard for Feb

Sent from my SM-G928V using Tapatalk
 
The snowfall rates during the thundersnow were incredible. It looked like a waterfall of mashed potatoes. Places up the road from me around the South Park area received 20" of snow.
February_2004_Snowfall.jpg


Wow, yea I can imagine there was likely at least some melting in the low-mid levels that led to this... 0z-12z 2/27 sounding from KGSO shows the development of a shallow but non-negligible warm nose ~ 800-875mb during and just after the height of the storm...
2004022712.72317.skewt.parc.gif


The storm was two-pronged with reflectivities approaching 50+ dbz just south of Charlotte during the late afternoon/evening on the 26th and then later in the overnight on the 27th following a relative break in the storm.

20040226_18.gif

20040226_36.gif
 
I hate Rockford - I spent the night in a police station for parking on the lake .... (think about that)

no charges - btw - just it seemed that parking on the lake next to their snow plows was a nuisance! On the friggin' lake -

If they had pictures of your car and you parked on the lake, you'd be on Oprah, not in the pokey. That's some bad luck, dude, kind of like this winter, and most for the last decade or so. I haven't gotten to sled since 05, and now a fine fellow is able to actually park on water, but gets arrested. Oh, the humanity!!
 
Liking what is to the west of here in Mississippi ans Alabama. Nice area of rain that will help some drought assuming it makes it here, but if it doesn't, at least some drought area is getting a little relief.
 
Although the easterly trades have resumed over the equatorial Pacific, it's definitely hard to ignore the recent basin-wide thermocline suppression...
wkxzteq_anm.gif
 
Back
Top