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Pattern May Thread

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 228
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
115 PM EDT MON MAY 16 2022

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 228 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NCC001-007-013-015-029-037-041-049-051-053-055-057-061-063-065-
067-069-073-077-079-081-083-085-091-093-095-101-103-105-107-117-
123-125-127-131-133-135-137-139-143-145-147-151-153-163-165-167-
177-181-183-185-187-191-195-170100-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0228.220516T1715Z-220517T0100Z/

NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALAMANCE ANSON BEAUFORT
BERTIE CAMDEN CHATHAM
CHOWAN CRAVEN CUMBERLAND
CURRITUCK DARE DAVIDSON
DUPLIN DURHAM EDGECOMBE
FORSYTH FRANKLIN GATES
GRANVILLE GREENE GUILFORD
HALIFAX HARNETT HERTFORD
HOKE HYDE JOHNSTON
JONES LEE LENOIR
MARTIN MONTGOMERY MOORE
NASH NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW
ORANGE PAMLICO PASQUOTANK
PERQUIMANS PERSON PITT
RANDOLPH RICHMOND SAMPSON
SCOTLAND STANLY TYRRELL
VANCE WAKE WARREN
WASHINGTON WAYNE WILSON
$$FB_IMG_1652721832956.jpg
 
Have a feeling this line approaching the watch might get a little outflow dominant and choke off as it approaches US1. If it doesn't SB capes around 2500 ML capes around 1500 and increasing Dcape should give us a few wind reports and maybe a couple of hail reports in any longer duration updrafts
 
SD said:
Have a feeling this line approaching the watch might get a little outflow dominant and choke off as it approaches US1. If it doesn't SB capes around 2500 ML capes around 1500 and increasing Dcape should give us a few wind reports and maybe a couple of hail reports in any longer duration updrafts
Click to expand...
Already seeing that outflow surge ahead
 
SD said:
Have a feeling this line approaching the watch might get a little outflow dominant and choke off as it approaches US1. If it doesn't SB capes around 2500 ML capes around 1500 and increasing Dcape should give us a few wind reports and maybe a couple of hail reports in any longer duration updrafts
Click to expand...
You nailed it
 
I got to Galveston late last night and honestly temperature wise it's not a lot different than when I've been in late July last few years. Houston has been above normal everyday this month(their average is 86 for reference today) and no end in sight at least through Friday or even Saturday

IMG-20220516-121503578-HDR.jpg
 
Rough few days coming up but the windows will be open the next couple of nights with mid 50s coming! I love what the GFS is doing after the weekend heat; several fronts seem to be heading our way. Still way out there and very possibly won't happen but great to still see some comfortable temps possible as we head towards June.

gfs_T2m_us_56.png
 
Iceagewhereartthou said:
Rough few days coming up but the windows will be open the next couple of nights with mid 50s coming! I love what the GFS is doing after the weekend heat; several fronts seem to be heading our way. Still way out there and very possibly won't happen but great to still see some comfortable temps possible as we head towards June.

gfs_T2m_us_56.png
Click to expand...
Yep! Gonna be the year without a summer! ☃️
 
Unless there's an intra-hour or 5pm high, DFW will be 89'd today. ?
 
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Can't say we've had a lot of thunderstorm days here but the days we have had have so far been solid. Just had another big storm in Pitt County. 2 weeks ago we had 4 severe storms in one day and now this makes the 2nd one today.
 
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