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Pattern May Discussion

I’m jealous!! I’ve had good tomato plants but my flowers keep breaking off before a tomato comes out. Something eats them
I had that problem last year, I think it was heat related. I moved them to a diff location this year so that they only get sun from early morning until around 2 PM. Hope this does the trick.
 
Hasn't rained in May not looking great this week either
I was just about to say, definitely looking at the possibility of under an inch of rain for May.
 
I was just about to say, definitely looking at the possibility of under an inch of rain for May.
I guess I've been lucky because I'm at 1.79" for the month with more heading this way from the looks of the radar. May does always seem to be a feast of famine month.
 
SPC has bumped a lot of us up to "Slight".

day2otlk_1730.gif
 
I guess I've been lucky because I'm at 1.79" for the month with more heading this way from the looks of the radar. May does always seem to be a feast of famine month.
I would say you are fortunate. I’ve had .45, and by the looks of it, that’s about it for May.
 
Definitely not tropical. If it could trend stronger, we could see some really cool temps (for mid/late May).

Dew points Friday Morning:
View attachment 135201
A cool weekend with no pool time ? Pass.
Not only that but this would basically have the pattern shot for storms for a good 4-5 days
 
mcd0802_full.png

Mesoscale Discussion 0802
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0134 PM CDT Tue May 16 2023

Areas affected...Southwest VA...Northwest NC

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 161834Z - 162030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage and intensity may increase this
afternoon across southwest VA and northwest NC, and trends are being
monitored for potential watch issuance.

DISCUSSION...The air mass across southwest VA and northwest NC
continues to destabilize amid temperatures warming into the upper
70s amid dewpoints in the mid 60s. Multicellular thunderstorm
activity upstream across far southwest VA has modestly strengthened
over the past hour, likely a result of increasing buoyancy and
continued ascent along the southern/eastern periphery of the
convectively augmented shortwave moving through the middle OH
Valley. Dewpoints are expected to remain in the mid 60s, despite
modest downsloping and boundary-layer mixing. As such, the airmass
will likely remain uncapped, with the remaining buoyancy and modest
ascent contributing to increasing thunderstorm coverage.

Even with some expectation for increasing thunderstorm coverage,
convective evolution is uncertain, and the primary severe threat may
remain associated with the main convective line farther west.
Consequently, when a watch will be needed is also somewhat
uncertain. Convective trends will be monitored closely for earlier
development and sufficient severe thunderstorms coverage to merit a
watch.

..Mosier/Leitman.. 05/16/2023
 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 226
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
400 PM EDT TUE MAY 16 2023

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 226 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NCC001-003-005-009-011-021-023-027-033-035-037-057-059-063-067-
069-077-081-097-111-115-121-135-145-151-157-159-169-171-181-183-
185-189-193-197-199-170200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0226.230516T2000Z-230517T0200Z/

NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ALLEGHANY
ASHE AVERY BUNCOMBE
BURKE CALDWELL CASWELL
CATAWBA CHATHAM DAVIDSON
DAVIE DURHAM FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GRANVILLE GUILFORD
IREDELL MADISON MCDOWELL
MITCHELL ORANGE PERSON
RANDOLPH ROCKINGHAM ROWAN
STOKES SURRY VANCE
WAKE WARREN WATAUGA
WILKES YADKIN YANCEY
$$
 
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