Pattern May Discussion

[TheBatman]

Can't wait

Just wait to winter. We will touch. Lol. Love it!!

 

[Arcc]

Just wait to winter. We will touch. Lol. Love it!!

I’ll trade winter for this every year in a heartbeat.

 

[Arcc]

The long range look is nuts.

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

I'll take this look anytime I can get it; doesn't matter the season!

 

[SD]

We need the low to meander inland and die if it stays offshore we've got no shot of salvaging Sunday at this point

 

[BHS1975]

The long range look is nuts.

Way different than last year.


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[SD]

There's a wide range of outcomes here this weekend depending on the sfc low track we could be 80 and humid or 65 and gloomy Sunday

 

[Downeastnc]

There's a wide range of outcomes here this weekend depending on the sfc low track we could be 80 and humid or 65 and gloomy Sunday

Yeah and even the Nam's jumping around all over the place with track and timing.....solid 1-3" though on pretty much all of them for MBY

 

[Rain Cold]

This weather has been unbelievable.

 

[Shaggy]

This weather has been unbelievable.

Yeah doesn't get much better than this for May

 

[Rain Cold]

Yeah doesn't get much better than this for May

Even 15 days out. Amazing.

 

[Tarheel1]

??

 

[FallsLake]

Even 15 days out. Amazing.

View attachment 135271

Here's noon temps for day 15. Of course this is all fantasy, but this has been the pattern so far this spring (..gives it a little weight). And once we get into June, any cool weather is taking away from the normal three-month inferno. Kind of like getting a warm pattern in December.

 

[SD]

 

[NCSNOW]

Just 24 more days, before the days start getting shorter. Saddle up

 

[NCSNOW]

Should have windchill in the upper 30s to low 40s tommorow. Wind is gonna be very noticeable

 

[SENC]

Current conditions.. Here on Da Beach.. Kinda a RAW Day..
(CHILLY)..

65F & light Rain..
Winds NORTH-- 25 gusting too 30mph..

 

[Sctvman]

We’re nearing 30 degrees below normal in Charleston. 58 degrees at 4:30pm. AVERAGE high is like 85 or 86.

 

[vsublazer]

It really windy here in North Myrtle Beach. Got in this afternoon and the wind hasn’t stopped. Chilly and windy. Currently 61 degrees and a feels like 59. Who would have thought our Spring Break trip in early April was warmer than this. You win some and lose some with beach trips.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Should have windchill in the upper 30s to low 40s tommorow. Wind is gonna be very noticeable

Eh lowest hrrr shows is low 50s for some of us and mid-upper for most

 

[Tarheel1]

Eh lowest hrrr shows is low 50s for some of us and mid-upper for mostView attachment 135284View attachment 135285

Great pool weather for end of May

 

[Carolina Jones]

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

This weather has been unbelievable.

If we had a spring like this every year summer would be a lot easier to take. Normally we would have already taken a beating from early heat and humidity but this may be the most pleasant April and May I can ever remember.

 

[Downeastnc]

Gonna be 3-4 ft of surge/wind tide on the IBX in NC with this persistent 2 day east wind....

 

[SD]

View attachment 052723.mp4

 

[LickWx]

Imma leave this here…. What happened 2012…

 

[NCSNOW]

Hope stormsfurry will give a recap of his obs after today. See how high a guest they get as gyre scrapes by on SD loop posted above.

 

[LickWx]

Gonna be 3-4 ft of surge/wind tide on the IBX in NC with this persistent 2 day east wind....

Maybe lose a couple more homes to the ocean in rodanthe

 

[NCSNOW]

Ive been typing in all kinds of questions on that chatgpt. It will be amazing if they ever let it get real time. I been asking all kinds of nao enso questions from like winter 2020. It only has access up until 2021. Probably for good reason. It needs to explain how to fix the GFS lol. Love to see this thing be able to access all the wx models real time. Then get webber to chat with it.

 

[Chazwin]

Imma leave this here…. What happened 2012…

View attachment 135297


View attachment 135298

Obviously similarities, but the big difference is that in 2012 at this time, the LaNina had extended into the spring and was only headed towards a neutral ENSO. Right now we’re clearly headed for an El Niño.

 

[Stevo24]

Where is all the rain I was promised today? I skipped smoking two butts today cause of this.

 

[JHS]

Where is all the rain I was promised today? I skipped smoking two butts today cause of this.

Staying east it looks like. They need to cut precip amounts by 75% or more west of I-77. Way too much dry air to overcome.

 

[jrips27]

Glad I’m on the Gulf this weekend

 

[StoneColdHeel]

Where is all the rain I was promised today? I skipped smoking two butts today cause of this.

Is that what the kids call a threesome these days?

 

[Chazwin]

Staying east it looks like. They need to cut precip amounts by 75% or more west of I-77. Way too much dry air to overcome.

This didn’t age well. With the way it looks like this is going to pivot, the area between GSP to CLT will end up with the heaviest totals

 

[Rain Cold]

This didn’t age well. With the way it looks like this is going to pivot, the area between GSP to CLT will end up with the heaviest totals

Another example of why you should never rely on any prediction Shetley makes. Never.

 

[Shaggy]

Impressive on visible images

 

[FallsLake]

Impressive on visible images

Yep:

 

[Tarheel1]

This didn’t age well. With the way it looks like this is going to pivot, the area between GSP to CLT will end up with the heaviest totals

They said on TWC earlier that there forecasts of 3-6” of rain near the coast, was gonna bust hard! Wilmington was up to only 1/2 an inch at 11 AM this morning

 

[Tarheel1]

Staying east it looks like. They need to cut precip amounts by 75% or more west of I-77. Way too much dry air to overcome.