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May be?

I'm far away from storms here and have the most random gusty winds for a solid 10-15 minutes now with no rain like this is better than any storm I've seen lately lol

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Brief strong winds 30 to 40 mph with some gusts to 50
mph.
 
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Interesting that RAH is starting to talk about potential clouds Sunday morning and T/Td spreads possibly limiting frost. EPS/GEFS/Euro are all at 41 for MBY, with a min member of 33 but most clustered between 38 and 43. Obviously there are variables in play here that could cause these to bust too high but I am starting to feel slightly better that maybe we escape Sunday morning without a widespread frost/light freeze
 
GaWx said:
Phil, Any Hogtown temp update before you sign off for the night? My walk has been fantastic.
Already falling into the upper 50s here! DP still in high 30s. Remarkable for May 7.
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Sorry for late news, Larry; I ate supper and was so tired I simply dozed off ... bottomed at 44º right at first light this AM. Refreshing ... :)
 
It felt soooooo chilly yesterday when we were hiking in the woods in the Phinizy Swamp. It was crazy. Our thermometer can run cooler, but we only hit 69. Day 1 of really cool days for May was a success.

Might honestly need a flannel blanket for one of the days on the weekend.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
It felt soooooo chilly yesterday when we were hiking in the woods in the Phinizy Swamp. It was crazy. Our thermometer can run cooler, but we only hit 69. Day 1 of really cool days for May was a success.

Might honestly need a flannel blanket for one of the days on the weekend.
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Planning on lighting up the fireplace Saturday morning! One last fling before hot and humid for 5 months. I hope the summer is kind to us.
 
GaWx said:
Phil, I wouldn’t worry about it, especially it being a day 16 map of an operational GFS. It is essentially worthless.
I continue to hold out hope that this season will turn out to be a big bust in a good way.
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Not worried at all, but it beat thinking about virus/politics for 2 minutes ... ;)
 
Euro wants to make me think we might see some severe weather appearing by next weekend into the next week. GFS is more of some severe along the wedge boundary again. Either way the thermodynamics will be there just a question of how stout is the SE ridge and can we get any forcing and jet into the region
 
SD said:
Euro wants to make me think we might see some severe weather appearing by next weekend into the next week. GFS is more of some severe along the wedge boundary again. Either way the thermodynamics will be there just a question of how stout is the SE ridge and can we get any forcing and jet into the region
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Yeah GFS solution wouldn’t shock me giving the upstate of SCs runs so far with supercells this year, haha 362BF175-9E07-4E3B-8124-0CE29181E176.png
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Yeah GFS solution wouldn’t shock me giving the upstate of SCs runs so far with supercells this year, haha
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CMC agrees, Euro is like lol nah bruh. I have a sneak suspicion as we get closer we might see a few more low amplitude impulses start showing in the WSW flow and this trends toward a few complexes moving across the region.
 
Well, temps busted BIG time here. Was supposed to hit 68. Only got to 59, not that I am complaining...
 
The fantastic May wx continues and will dominate into midweek as has been forecasted.

Low here was in the upper 40s!
 
Lickwx said:
Got up to 70 here, sometimes pays to be far east of the mountains. Avoid most of the dreary days.
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Yup. Well, I think part of that was the fact that we had cloud cover all day, whereas you probably had a sunny morning. As I said, I don't mind it though!
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Kinda want some thunderstorms right now
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Me tooooooo! Scratch that, I always want thunderstorms! Lol. Really hoping we can get some good storm complexes next week. I need to invest in a good camera like you. I would love to take photo's like you took the other day. That or a good drone.
 
This look around hour 174 is a eyebrow raiser, amount of forcing/even storm development itself is a question tho, but there could just be a T-storm complex that arrives or the outflow that triggers something, strength of that little shortwave on top of the ridge is key aswell, more south, its likely the threat of severe goes up and with more forcing and maybe even introduces a threat of a NW flow MCSB781280A-5B04-4005-A49C-10BE1185816A.png52E9FC44-B740-479E-855C-DCBEE168C895.png6F8702D0-800B-41B6-8836-9A762849E667.pngFA2AEE78-D6C2-4D08-837E-5D2BAE25B085.png
 
Really not seeing 38 as forecast tonight. I think CHA officially will not see 30s at all. 41 at best. Still damn chilly for May, but nothing record setting.
 
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