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May be?

Lickwx said:
Except that its May and its not like it can remain cold forever, plus as was mentioned by SD if I am not mistaken the existence of this cold protends a risk for severe weather around the time of pattern transition as cold/ warm air duke it out. To avoid severe weather you would want the warmer air to have been established with a summer pattern by now. Existence of this cold only delays the inevitable transition and severe risk it could bring with it.
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Yeah not the mention the AG effects this cold is probably going to cause will be big, but yeah as seen 2 days ago with a transition we got severe, but anyways yeah at this point this cold is just damaging
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Bermuda grass looks weirdly patchy, this cool down needs to go, I bet there was more damage done then just that
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Mine looks like dog ---- lots of seed heads from the stress over the last 30 days and not very green. Once we hit the 70s to 80s by next weekend whatever survives will take off
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Yeah not the mention the AG effects this cold is probably going to cause will be big, but yeah as seen 2 days ago with a transition we got severe, but anyways yeah at this point this cold is just damaging
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Soil temps in the low 60s isn't that great for warm season plants. As that drops back into the 50s coupled with air temps in the 30s plants are going to stress. As long as we don't get a freeze there will be damage and stress but not a full on disaster. If we see temps getting into that 29-31 range there will be a good amount of loss but some things will make it, 28 or below would be pretty disastrous
 
Lickwx said:
Except that its May and its not like it can remain cold forever, plus as was mentioned by SD if I am not mistaken the existence of this cold protends a risk for severe weather around the time of pattern transition as cold/ warm air duke it out. To avoid severe weather you would want the warmer air to have been established with a summer pattern by now. Existence of this cold only delays the inevitable transition and severe risk it could bring with it.
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Yeah if you look at the gfs you can see energy moving through on the west/north fringe of the ridge. We probably won't have the better jet energy we have earlier in spring but that may be off set by better thermodynamics. I am not the biggest fan of the D8-12 period with the focus being west and northern parts of the region
 
Jessy89 said:
Look at it this way if it’s cold. There is no severe weather. So I’d rather cold and stable weather then have hot unstable and Tornadoes!
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But having cold around means the jet is south and not in Canada. With poss severe outbreaks nearby. Rather be HOT with the jet in Canada producing tornadoes.
 
BirdManDoomW said:
But having cold around means the jet is south and not in Canada. With poss severe outbreaks nearby. Rather be HOT with the jet in Canada producing tornadoes.
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Even in dog days of summer you have the humidity isolated thunderstorms. Occasionally you get damaging winds and microburst.


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Anyone wanna create a Snow/Freeze thread? May be warranted since several sites could break latest snow on record or Top 2 so late in the year. My NWS says 1-2” for NC mountains with wind snow possible as Far East at the blue ridge. Plus Agricultural impacts for the piedmont.
 
22 is the forecast low for anyone chasing to Beech Mountain, NC. Expect ice for Mother’s Day underneath the snow pack.
 
40 here this morning. The GFS now is up to 36 on Saturday and 35 Sunday. FFC mentioned that Saturday morning will have a "desiccating wind" which they say could be more damaging than a frost.
 
47º and still tonight is the Hogtown NWS forecast ... so looking forward to a walk before sunrise!!!!! Hell, I'd welcome a frost, and if the radiator works, it might could do one on the roofs ... ;)
 
The OKC alley is beginning today. 5% of tornadoes pretty much over the metro area.
 
pcbjr said:
47º and still tonight is the Hogtown NWS forecast ... so looking forward to a walk before sunrise!!!!! Hell, I'd welcome a frost, and if the radiator works, it might could do one on the roofs ... ;)
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Today/tonight in the deep SE has been more typical of late March than early May! Current temps in the deep SE SAV-GNV corridor low 70s w/RH of 25-30/DPs of 34-39 and a nice breeze still bringing in dry, continental air. It doesn't get much better than this on May 7th. Lots of mid to upper 40 lows for this corridor tonight. The walks tonight for me/before sunrise for you should be fabulous. SAV looks to have a similarly chilly night Sat night with near ideal wx for May through most of the period through Wednesday!

This pattern is a beautiful bonus for the deep SE! We're having CO Rocky Mountain midsummer like wx! This is why I've made several summer trips there over the years.
 
Very likely once in a lifetime , hell once in 2 lifetimes weather event taking place here saturday. A freeze this late.


Im looking forward to everything being dead and brown again, its just so crisp really. Dead wildflowers, dead honeysuckle... mmmm i love the wonderful smell of dead honeysuckle. Nothing screams its almost summer time like the seducing smell of dead honeysuckle, brown grass, and the juicy ripe taste of dead blackberry blooms that you pick off and eat. Mmmmmm
 
Lickwx said:
Very likely once in a lifetime , hell once in 2 lifetimes weather event taking place here saturday. A freeze this late.


Im looking forward to everything being dead and brown again, its just so crisp really. Dead wildflowers, dead honeysuckle... mmmm i love the wonderful smell of dead honeysuckle. Nothing screams its almost summer time like the seducing smell of dead honeysuckle, brown grass, and the juicy ripe taste of dead blackberry blooms that you pick off and eat. Mmmmmm
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At least we’re getting out of this crappy pattern soon for us here in the Carolinas
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
At least we’re getting out of this crappy pattern soon for us here in the Carolinas
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Yeah but the reminder of this crappy pattern will linger this entire warm season. Any new growth on my fig tree will be decimated, hell most of the fig trees leaves are gon be zapped. There goes this summer crop, oh well there is always next summer right.. so much for a reliable growing season. We were forecast 46 for this morning and we woke up to 40. NWS says 38 for RDU Sunday morning, based on past history it will likely be much much lower and in the neighborhood of 30-35.
 
Lickwx said:
Yeah but the reminder of this crappy pattern will linger this entire warm season. Any new growth on my fig tree will be decimated, hell most of the fig trees leaves are gon be zapped. There goes this summer crop, oh well there is always next summer right.. so much for a reliable growing season. We were forecast 46 for this morning and we woke up to 40. NWS says 38 for RDU Sunday morning, based on past history it will likely be much much lower and in the neighborhood of 30-35.
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Idk man. We might get saved by a little wind and a few clouds associated with a disturbance rotating through
 
RIP to chasing in the plains for me now, car having issues unfortunately, but those supercells in Texas are insane right now when it comes to structure/lightning, makes me itch in jealousy, haha
 
Dewpoint Dan said:
Just curious... Why do you call it Hogtown ?
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A Seminole village was here; white folks showed up; the natives and white folks got along and raised pigs along the creek; the original name of the settlement before Gainesville was officially Hogtown; the creek that runs through hereabouts is "Hogtown Creek" ...
 
pcbjr said:
A Seminole village was here; white folks showed up; the natives and white folks got along and raised pigs along the creek; the original name of the settlement before Gainesville was officially Hogtown; the creek that runs through hereabouts is "Hogtown Creek" ...
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Phil, Any Hogtown temp update before you sign off for the night? My walk has been fantastic.
Already falling into the upper 50s here! DP still in high 30s. Remarkable for May 7.
 
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GaWx said:
Phil, Any Hogtown temp update before you sign off for the night? My walk has been fantastic.
Already falling into the upper 50s here! DP still in high 30s. Remarkable for May 7.
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Update for @pcbjr Hogtown abode at 10PM: already down to 54!
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
good news for anyone that likes summer Convection, gfs bringing a pattern that just brings in CAPE everyday with near zero shear, which is favorable for pulse convection, favorite pattern imo View attachment 41082View attachment 41083
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Myfrotho704_ said:
Typical warm season southeast weather we all know and love View attachment 41091View attachment 41092
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Sexy sexy. Just got word that my grad school has been pushed to the fall thanks to COVID. Which means a free summer to enjoy these popup storms. Bring it on.
 
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From the 3k early Sunday morning. Maybe a few clouds? Dews in the low 20s might give us a big enough dew point depression to keep frost down but then again the soil is awfully wet
 
NAM wanting time develop the gulf disturbance before it hits South Florida. I don’t think it will have time. Maybe after.
 
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