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May be?

SouthATLwx said:
The 00z EURO was at least a step in the right direction.
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I noticed that we lost most of the EPS members showing 30s around here with the 0z run. Highs near 70 and lows near 45 are fine with me, when we start dabbling with lows in the mid 30s in May that starts getting into the ag/economic impact territory.
 
SD said:
I am really pulling for the wedge to lose tomorrow and hang/get pushed north of 40. Going to be 20-30 degrees different from one side to the other. When it comes to this weekend will be interesting to watch the models over the next 72 hours to see if they start to back off on the magnitude of the cold and depth of the troughing like we often see in winter.
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I hope so but my hopes aren’t high at all. Wedge will back off but it will be too late for it to warmup when it does as it will likely be near sunset. At least thats what history shows. When there is a wedge bank on it overpowering .
 
Can't believe we're talking about frost/freeze potential in May. Usually we're moving towards summer temps/humidity.
From RAH:
The main headline of the late week weather story continues to be the much
cooler than normal temperatures, with afternoon highs expected to
struggle to reach 70 degrees Sat/Sun. Model forecast guidance,
especially the ECMWF, continues to hint at 1000 - 850mb thickness
values dipping to near 1300m by Sunday morning. Based on past local
research, this will favor temperatures generally in the lower 30s
under good radiational cooling conditions at KGSO. Even cheating up
a few degrees based on climatology/seasonality, this would put quite
a large portion of central NC in a Frost/soft Freeze type threat pre-
dawn Sunday. If KRDU were to hit the freezing point (which is
unlikely at this point) this would tie the latest freeze in its
period of record.
​
 
12z GFS spit out 31 here on Sunday. MBY will hit 29 if that verifies. Wow
 
Well, we caved and turned the A/C on today. I should've known because I was really feeling it warmth wise when I was trying to nap. Boy I still feel hot as well and I have to go walk soon.

Gonna need it for tomorrow too, maybe 2 days if we just leave it, then might not for a while.
 
BufordWX said:
While this cool spell the next few days in nice, you can’t run from the heat forever. The heat will always make its appearance known. Anyone who enjoys the cooler weather better enjoy it while they can. The real heat is not far away.View attachment 40964
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Looking at the island of 70s in Tennessee leads me to believe it's advertising stormy conditions in that area... Rain cooled air
 
Seems like after this deep trough lifts, gfs/gefs wants to bring back this broad/flat upper level ridge like we’ve had for the past 2 days 6A91CE0B-9F7B-4385-9B03-145AF2AA3178.png
 
The most pleasant May wx in many years is on the way to the SE from late 5/6 through 5/14. I’m so looking forward to it. During much of this period, dewpoints even way down here are projected to be incredibly low for May (almost like winter) with 30s-40s most of this period! Highs will be mainly 70-80 with many lows near the low 50s with upper 40s even possible!
 
Nomanslandva said:
My mothers day low is now 34:oops: Really not good for those in good radiational cooling areas.
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I’m now at 32 on Saturday and 35 on Sunday but I’m usually a degree or two lower than that. I’ve got countless blueberries and apples the size of quarters I’m worried about in addition to the Maters.
 
All systems are go for the lengthy comfortably cool and dry pattern dominating the next 10 days in the SE US. Enjoy it while you can! This is typical of mid summer Colorado Rockies weather and is more typical of early to mid April weather in the SE with a few days typical of as far back as mid to late March!
 
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GaWx said:
All systems are go for the lengthy comfortably cool pattern dominating the next 10 days in the SE US. Enjoy it while you can! This is typical of mid summer Colorado Rockies weather and is more typical of early to mid April weather in the SE with a few days typical of as far back as mid to late March!
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The Colorado Rockies sound like a wonderful place to be in the summer.
 
Dewpoint Dan said:
The Colorado Rockies sound like a wonderful place to be in the summer.
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I’ve been there several times in summer. It is an absolutely fabulous and refreshing escape from the SE heat and humidity. And then add the backdrop of incredible scenery and beautiful wildflowers as icing on the cake.
So, now we get to experience typical July CO Rockies weather for 10 days before the typical sweaty SE summer doldrums likely set in and dominate the subsequent 120+ days. I know I’ll soak in the precious next 10 days!
 
Dang, NWS RAH has dropped MBY's forecasted low to 34 Sunday morning. And 33 for GSO, which is where I'll be this weekend (Mother's Day). That's only a few degrees above our all-time record low for the month of May.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Here you go, pretty hot on the gfs if you ask me, climo is eventually gonna win out View attachment 41053View attachment 41054
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Due to the always present cold bias due to model imperfection, which is strongest with the GEFS, I’d definitely add a few degrees into most of these numbers. But even with that, it looks near perfect from my perspective for the next or so 10 days. A true gift.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Here you go, pretty hot on the gfs if you ask me, climo is eventually gonna win out
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Yeah not a lot of choices of where to go once the NAO breaks down and the pacific ridge gets undercut so SW trough/SE ridge it is. Not sure how long that lasts though, to me the last third of the month looks a little chaotic as we may lose the higher amplitude setups. I say that to say I am not sure that severe season is over for our region and we may end up with one last round later in the month.
 
SD said:
Yeah not a lot of choices of where to go once the NAO breaks down and the pacific ridge gets undercut so SW trough/SE ridge it is. Not sure how long that lasts though, to me the last third of the month looks a little chaotic as we may lose the higher amplitude setups. I say that to say I am not sure that severe season is over for our region and we may end up with one last round later in the month.
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Agree with u. This just isn’t a normal year seems
 
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