• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern March Thread

Rain Cold said:
Hey massive changes warm warm warm

It would be more efficient to just set an automated message so you don't have to go to the trouble of posting it several times a day.
Click to expand...
What’s the difference vs posting cold maps and cold trends several times in January like I did, it’s the same thing just the opposite, it generated no issues. only difference is I’m doing warm now and since it’s not liked, then it has issues. it’s a impressive change that’s still happening and adjusting on models and I see no issue with posting it, we have warmed nearly 40F on some models, this is stuff that matches the February 2021 fail
 
GaWx said:
For 12Z on 3/1, the Happy Hour GFS takes back 10 of those added 25 degrees at Pasco County, FL, with it in upper 40s vs upper 50s on today's 12Z (so, only another 15 degrees to go), and 32 on yesterday's 12Z. It also gets ATL back down to near 32. Thus, no toss from me:

View attachment 114234
Click to expand...

Followup about Pasco County, FL, and ATL for modeled lows on March 1st:

Pasco County: back up to 56 on today’s 12Z GFS and 62 on today’s 12Z Euro vs 32 on both the 12Z GFS run of just 48 hours ago (12Z run of 2/21) and the 2/20 18Z GFS run.

ATL: now 44 on today’s 12Z GFS vs 22 on 12Z GFS of 2/21:

12Z GFS today:
BBF8E354-9AB7-4153-9077-315C6F584DC4.png

12Z Euro today:
CCA9C4FE-1011-427F-8C6E-CBA4E2472AA5.png

12Z GFS of 2 days ago (2/21):
80509185-AFDC-44FD-9A1C-A042828B3A7D.jpeg

Cows will love it @pcbjr. ;)
 
Last edited:
Myfrotho704_ said:
CPC, pretty classic -PNA/-EPO/SER look View attachment 114303View attachment 114304
Click to expand...

I’m not shooting the messenger but will say that to me the -PNA/SER is by far the butt ugliest H5 pattern on the face of the Earth. ? December made me hate it more than ever. It was on models day after day after day after day and never seemed to want to end.

No offense to the poster, but I absolutely can’t stand the SER.
 
It’s a pattern that could get us very warm days, but a breakdown of this sort of pattern would easily get us pretty cold, cold is on our side A587434F-150F-4550-BC10-E7B02DE7C471.pngDC015FFA-0698-49AD-8EC4-650AB37F3CC2.png
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
It’s a pattern that could get us very warm days, but a breakdown of this sort of pattern would easily get us pretty cold, cold is on our side View attachment 114306View attachment 114307
Click to expand...
Really love the big blocking signals up in the cold regions but that -PNA is really cutting into our fun .. if can’t fix that that SER isn’t going to have a problem winning all these battles through March. I’d lose hope (already have really) for any winter precip come late March if we can’t see any drastic changes + increasingly worse climo
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Really love the big blocking signals up in the cold regions but that -PNA is really cutting into our fun .. if can’t fix that that SER isn’t going to have a problem winning all these battles through March. I’d lose hope (already have really) for any winter precip come late March if we can’t see any drastic changes + increasingly worse climo
Click to expand...
Seems like we only get blocks when the -PNA is present lol (December for example), honestly a somewhat similar pacific configuration to December being modeled, difference is the Hudson Bay vortex, normally a -NAO ruins the fun for warmth but a Hudson Bay vortex could do the same8890CF7A-0F29-4E4F-886F-8FFE7274D632.gif92AD8FA3-EB9E-476C-8E07-24525763C7B0.png
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Really love the big blocking signals up in the cold regions but that -PNA is really cutting into our fun .. if can’t fix that that SER isn’t going to have a problem winning all these battles through March. I’d lose hope (already have really) for any winter precip come late March if we can’t see any drastic changes + increasingly worse climo
Click to expand...

It looks really bad right now for longlasting SE BN prospects. Regarding blocks, nothing trumps the W coast block/+PNA block for the SE, especially deep SE, and that's now nowhere to be found once into March. :(

#IHateBugs

Edit: But the recent very longlasting +PNA has been an absolute pleasure to experience.
 
Last edited:
As long as we can keep the humidity negated, that's all that matters to me at this point. We could get a potential storm as we are technically in February and going into march, but at this point I think winter is all but over from a frozen precip standpoint just based on the overall pattern going forward. Biggest thing is keep cool to average temps and again most importantly, low humidity through the next couple of months before we turn into the armpit of the united states for the next 6 months.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Lots of warm members on the temp spreads, it’s a great time of the year to be above average with that normally meaning upper 60s/70s which is great weather to do outdoor activities View attachment 114318
Click to expand...

Here that means 80s, which is not good for outdoors from my standpoint unless dewpoints stay under 55. So, I'll be hoping for a lot of relatively dry air with any warmth. Who needs 80s when we get 80s+ almost every day for 5+ months straight? And of course there are the dreaded bugs. I love the dead of winter with virtually no flying bugs!

If it can stay dry, then at least the skeeters will be delayed.
 
GaWx said:
Here that means 80s, which is not good for outdoors from my standpoint unless dewpoints stay under 55. So, I'll be hoping for a lot of relatively dry air with any warmth. Who needs 80s when we get 80s+ almost every day for 5+ months straight? And of course there are the dreaded bugs. I love the dead of winter with virtually no flying bugs!

If it can stay dry, then at least the skeeters will be delayed.
Click to expand...
Humidity and bugs are my 2 biggest complaints about summer.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top