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Pattern March Thread

Next opportunity for svr going to be that time frame as well. GFS depicting some cape across the southeast over the Tue-Wed frame. Makes sense with possible warmest airmass of the year so far ahead of some sort of system
 
Possibly some good news for people that enjoy cool to seasonable weather; 6z GFS showing a good front at about hr 200 with more seasonable weather through the end of the run. Might be another fake of course, but good to see the heat pushed down for a while.
 
Since tomorrow is the first day of meteorological spring… is there gonna be a Winter Grade thread opening up?
 
What a flip from last Wednesday and Thursdays heavy sleet and temps mostly in the teens!

But next week looks much colder again

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Perfect barn building weather this week into the weekend. Very thankful for that, I’ve got to get that barn finished.
 
27.7 degrees this morning. That’s the last freeze for a while and my March snow prediction I’ve made all winter could be in trouble.
I'm not sure about the rest of the month. With the mjo wave really losing traction and getting into the CoD and the upcoming jet extension/retraction we might make another run at cold but I don't feel terribly confident
 
impressive warm spell on tap starting tomorrow, looking forward to it :cool:
locally, expecting 6 consecutive days with highs in the 70s (warmest day being Sunday at 78). record highs look a bit out of reach though
 
GFS still showing better patterns as we get close to around the 12 and after, hopefully we can get another couple of good cool shots and freezes before the heat and bugs totally take over.

gfs_T2m_us_49.png
 
I'll say it again, I'm still hoping for something crazy to happen between the 12th and 16th.....it wouldn't be an impossible stretch for the GFS to get there.....Central Alabama is starving for something wintry!

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_40.png
looks like our January storm in north Alabama
 
Interesting. We will certainly get our period of SER but models seem eager to kick it the hell out of here by the 10th or so give or take .. even some interesting members on the GEFS! I would expect at least maybe 1-2 rounds of severe weather before this with the battle between the SER and the bigger colder fronts trying to move by as well. Certainly not expecting winter weather obviously but it hammers down a somewhat colder pattern for middle March. A classic spring flip flop perhaps. 96C5EA10-1A33-4314-9AA7-76FB7F5859F1.jpeg8124C003-E8A6-41A6-93BF-17FCBABEA365.jpeg8E3D6F0E-F827-4D6A-8F2A-56B163D403FE.jpeg
 
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