tennessee storm
Member
No worries... CFS. Says game on severe weather second half March into early April... ... looks like the mjo rolls through cold phase pretty quick also
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Severe March 2-4 Severe weather Threat
- Thread starter Arcc
- Start date
Snowflowxxl
Member
Threat is pretty much dead on the GFS now, it was he last model hanging on.
More of a general t-storms to strong multicellular clusters is favored with those parameters
That just assures me even more on the cold spring.
Well so much for this threat, lol. 
Snowflowxxl
Member
Yea it’s dead lol. We now turn our attention to mid/late MarchWell so much for this threat, lol.
Seriously I dont know what to believe. The Euro all of a sudden amps up the threat again for AL/GA on the third and would be a very dangerous setup. Cape in south AL exceeds 2500 with favorable shear. In fact, it looks to be trending where we started except a day later.
I hate our models.
Edit: The more I look through the Euro, the more concerning it becomes. If and that is a big if it is right, that would be a big problem.
I hate our models.
Edit: The more I look through the Euro, the more concerning it becomes. If and that is a big if it is right, that would be a big problem.
Last edited:
Refela
Member
I really hope this doesn't happen.
No doubt the 12z GFS is trending toward the Euro.
Snowflowxxl
Member
GEFS has been trending toward showing more of a threat as well over the past few runs.
Sure is.
snowlover91
Member
Yeah I think the Euro is the model to lean towards right now for this and with that it looks like there might be a chance for some severe weather, especially if there is ample sunshine ahead of the system.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
If it's not going to snow might as well bring on storms and a few big ol' wedges! I'm honestly a little excited about this
At first glance, the 12z Euro continues the trend.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Quite ironic this threat was something else then died and resurrected from the what was snowstorm threat. Looks like a good setup since the trend should keep going for some
I don’t see our wedge this time, the Carolina wedge
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I personally wouldn't mind a little teeny wedge right along the blue ridge escarpment to enhance local baroclinicity and horizontal shear in the central-western piedmont. This is actually largely why there's a secondary local max in tornado track density over Charlotte and Winston-Salem w/ the main corridor being my old stomping grounds in Fayetteville and areas along/just east of I-95.
Yep and I definitely remember March 3rd 2012, wedge front moved north allowing instability and a EF2 tornado to develop
Snowflowxxl
Member
Euro has some ridiculous CAPE values in south Alabama on Sunday.