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March 18-19th Possible Severe Wx Outbreak

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
255 PM EDT THU MAR 18 2021

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF...
BRYAN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...
CHATHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...
JASPER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT.

* AT 255 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR BURROUGHS, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
POOLER, RICHMOND HILL, WINDSOR FOREST, I-16/I-95 INTERCHANGE,
HUNTER ARMY AIRFIELD, DOWNTOWN SAVANNAH, GODLEY STATION, SAVANNAH
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, MIDTOWN SAVANNAH, GARDEN CITY, PORT
WENTWORTH, BLOOMINGDALE, THUNDERBOLT, SAVANNAH HISTORIC DISTRICT
AND WHITEMARSH ISLAND.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES...
I-16 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 153 AND 168.
I-516 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 3 AND 9.
I-95 IN GEORGIA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 91 AND 111.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS, IN A MOBILE
HOME, OR IN A VEHICLE, MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND
PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.



LAT...LON 3192 8131 3206 8139 3223 8118 3204 8098
TIME...MOT...LOC 1855Z 237DEG 23KT 3202 8132

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN
 
A fascinatingView attachment 79665 depiction of what we have all been talking about. Increased helicity from BP's post.

Gotta really watch these storms near that mesolow in Spartanburg-Chesnee, especially if they're tracking parallel to the boundary. That's how you can get numerous tornadoes in one area & strong/long-lived ones too.
 
Normally, I don’t really get nervous over weather but I have a really eerie feeling about this event for us. The winds are gusting. Temps have shot up. And sun is still peaking through.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Mesoscale Discussion 0224
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0210 PM CDT Thu Mar 18 2021

Areas affected...northern South Carolina into central North Carolina

Concerning...Tornado Watch 41...

Valid 181910Z - 182145Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 41 continues.

SUMMARY...Storms will continue to develop east/northeast across the
watch area, and a new watch could be needed into central North
Carolina later this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...A broken line of cells continues to progress east into
northwestern SC, near the surface trough and along and north of the
warm front. Surface analysis shows warming and destabilization
continues south of this front, and this should allow these storms to
persist and perhaps expand in coverage. The greatest severe risk
appears to be along the warm front, where storms will experience
enhanced lift. Strong deep-layer shear as well as effective SRH of
200-300 m2/s2 will favor supercells at times, with a threat of a
brief tornado or damaging gusts. If storm trends continue up over
the next few hours, an additional watch could be needed downstream
into NC.

..Jewell.. 03/18/2021


mcd0224.gif
 
Timing may save the day for us east of I 95 and prevent the front from tapping into the instability currently present....

View attachment 79667

You definitely don't want storms like this near or just after sunset, that's when your tornado threat will tend to be highest as they've had the most time to mature & the low-level jet is intensifying.
 
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
255 PM EDT THU MAR 18 2021

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF...
BRYAN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...
CHATHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...
JASPER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT.

* AT 255 PM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR BURROUGHS, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
POOLER, RICHMOND HILL, WINDSOR FOREST, I-16/I-95 INTERCHANGE,
HUNTER ARMY AIRFIELD, DOWNTOWN SAVANNAH, GODLEY STATION, SAVANNAH
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, MIDTOWN SAVANNAH, GARDEN CITY, PORT
WENTWORTH, BLOOMINGDALE, THUNDERBOLT, SAVANNAH HISTORIC DISTRICT
AND WHITEMARSH ISLAND.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES...
I-16 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 153 AND 168.
I-516 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 3 AND 9.
I-95 IN GEORGIA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 91 AND 111.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS, IN A MOBILE
HOME, OR IN A VEHICLE, MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND
PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.



LAT...LON 3192 8131 3206 8139 3223 8118 3204 8098
TIME...MOT...LOC 1855Z 237DEG 23KT 3202 8132

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

I hate that is is so difficult now to get up to date good radar images for local areas.
 
You definitely don't want storms like this near or just after sunset, that's when your tornado threat will tend to be highest as they've had the most time to mature & the low-level jet is intensifying.

In saying this, the diurnal timing looks pretty close to ideal for tornadoes in places like the Triangle as the storms should be arriving around sunset give or take an hr ish
 
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