I’m Thinking the SPC will probably go 30% in those areas tonight to our SW and 15% NC-south, that stuff to our SW looks bad, if there one thing I notice tho is that low level shear isn’t insane with this setupIt's muddy for us. A lot of divergence out front and plenty of moisture so we should have a good bit of rain and "junk" convection preceding the main line. I'm not sure how much that will allow us to destabilize and if that will help keep an insitu type airmass in play. Another thing is do we see the initial band and pre frontal trough out run the better forcing so we are left with a weakening band and wind shift and overall not a whole lot. Just a few things I'm wondering about right now. If you overlap and time this correctly it's at minimum a strongly forced QLCS with a few embedded tornadoes.
I feel much more confident in the severe threat to our W/SW. It's looking fairly ominous for MS/Al/Ga/Tn