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March 18-19th Possible Severe Wx Outbreak
- Thread starter Myfrotho704_
- Start date
Brad P gave an excellent synopsis regarding tomorrow in his VBLOG. Definitely worth the watch. He seems to be pretty bullish too in regards to severe weather here. He even mentioned the possible of some rotating storms when the warm front lifts north in the morning.
Storm5
Member
No one is questioning his knowledge. To say the comment he said with certainty is foolish . No one knows what will happen . There have been a lot of bad tornadoes in Alabama since 2011 .
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Snowflowxxl
Member
Yes. If I’m focused on today I don’t want to be reading about the Carolinas. Two threads were definitely needed.
I doubt people in Al/Ms/Tn care what Mike maze or brad P have to say about NC. Just like I doubt people in NC who are coming here for a NC update care about Al.
Hrrr slowed down the QLCS towards the end of its run vs last run
That would still be considered moderate IMO ... supercells are big and cover a large area .. if h get four of five scraping along and redeveloping I would say you would have widespread severe weather (i.e someone getting hail/damaging winds/ and someone getting a tornado) if there’s only one or two then enhanced seems likely
khughey
Member
Yep, Brett is the real deal. I had the chance to convoy chase with him back before he did this for a living. He also spent time remotely helping me and my son, when we drove from Atlanta to the Miss delta to chase a high impact day.
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NoSnowJoe
Member
Just to clarify, any Georgia info should be posted here?
Honestly when it comes to severe weather (not winter weather I’ll be pissed if anywhere other than Raleigh NC sees snow lol) I want to stay informed about everyone effected and whats going on especially during a severe outbreak like this one ... I like seeing all the posts mixed but I have no issue going back and forth .. I mean if u don’t wanna look at something .. simply scroll past it lol
Seems like on all maps there’s a gap in nort central Georgia, is the line supposed to weaken as it gets here tonight and restrengthen later in the day Thursday in far eastern ga/sc?
Dewpoint Dan
Member
I'm not sure. Isnt Georgia supposed to get some storms later this evening/tonight ? If so I think it's ok to post in today's thread.
I'm not sure about Ga bc I could see some stuff sneaking in late in the evening. What do you guys think
Major Storm Coming To Charlotte Tomorrow - Numerous Tornadoes Possible
UPDATE 3/18/2021 11:30am: The severe storm is continuing to barrel toward the Charlotte region. We should see the worst of the storm between 1-4pm this afternoon, depending on what part of the Charlotte region you live in. According to the National Weather Service, the storm will likely be the...
www.charlottestories.com
Someone needs to do something about these folks. So not necessary.
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NoSnowJoe
Member
That happens often as we all know but I just heard TWC say we can expect winds up to 75mph in the moderate area in west central Georgia.
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Brick Tamland
Guest
Same here. The back and forth and having a separate obs thread is just silly.
Perhaps but looks like Western counties won't be the wall this time it will be further east into Cobb county etc perhaps so gonna be bumpy for the border counties.
JHS
Member
It's easier to separate the 2 than having everything in one thread in my opinion. One for the AL/MISS/TN area and another for us just like SD did it. I 100% agree with him here.
Thread
HRRR kind of dropped the idea of that cell in the latest run.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Ugly soundings on the NAM run for RDU.
Interesting how the HRRR/RAP speeds things up while the 3km keeps us in crazy parameters spaces longer with more opportunity for more storms to fire
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Not as much shear as Apr 2011 in NC but the low-level lapse rates and CAPE are way better this time.
Downeastnc
Member
Yeah its trending towards a quasi linear line going semi to fully discrete over central NC.....seems like we have seen that before....
Ugly 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Max tornado probabilities at every point in the conus 2006-2020. The new 45% from the SPC would be uncharted territory for parts of MS/AL. Most of the NC piedmont that was relatively spared by Apr 2011 & is currently under a 15% sig tor hasn't seen anything higher.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
As good points of future reference, here are the NWS Tornado warning polygon (2007-present), SPC day 1 sig tornado (2002-present), & tornado track density (1950-2018) climatologies for NC.
NoSnowJoe
Member
I know the key to severe weather in Georgia is the warm front moving north and busting the wedge. Can someone show me where the warm front is right now and when it will reach the south metro/Newnan area? TIA
Windergawx
Member
I would say somewhere around Lagrange looking and temps and wind
The green area is basically the warm front and its surging NE by 5-6 today it should be into parts of GA and knocking on Metro door
Yeap it's knocking on Lagrange's door for sure
iGRXY
Member
As cool and brisk as it feels here right now it’s hard to believe we are preparing for a very significant round of severe weather today and tomorrow.
New SPC outlook
JHS
Member
If I'm reading the discussion right it looks like some of us may see 2 rounds of storms. Columbia may be ground zero tomorrow.
New SPC outlook
Pretty much the same as the one issued overnight. I don't like how close that purple hatch area is to CLT. This is getting to close for comfort, IMO.
SPC wording tomorrow is pretty scary
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Brick Tamland
Guest
Hope it isn't this bad tomorrow as it is right now. Maybe all the energy will be wasted today.