Severe March 13-15 Central Upper South Severe Threat
- Thread starter Webberweather53
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- severe weather
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So far your area. Looks like a line of storms with a slight chance of them being severe at the moment.
Mainly high winds and heavy rain. Low end tornado threat.
So looking at the 12z NAM and following the trends the Sigtor and storm perimeters have slowly been ticking better farther east into AL past few runs and now the latest run even throws out a modest threat sounding for bordering West GA counties should be interesting to watch next few runs.
Yea tomorrow will be covering a lot of ground affecting many people. Ohio Valley and the Southeast could both see enhanced risk out of this. I've been so busy the past few days, havent been able to analyze it like I like to.
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Cips analog guidance shows the majority of severe reports happening over Tennessee and places south for tomorrow in setups similar to this one.
This soundings does support isolated tornadoes at the onset then quickly switches to damaging winds, your getting strong winds aloft which would mix down to the ground with t-storms combined with dry air entrainment which would create decent negative buoyancy also with t-storms which means stronger downdrafts, I’d be concerned for damaging winds with a sounding like this, Downdraft CAPE argues that aswell
Z