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Severe March 13-15 Central Upper South Severe Threat

10% hatched in NW Alabama on the new Day 1

day1probotlk_1630_torn.gif
 
Spc still saying possible supercells this afternoon doesn't seem too unstable though because of the clouds ....
 
Rick said:
Spc still saying possible supercells this afternoon doesn't seem too unstable though because of the clouds ....
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According to james spann the current little rain showers moving in will help to clear the skies some
 
I'm not liking the HRRR. Some storms make it up to here and still have some tornadic look to them. Have to watch them as they look to roll through N and Central AL. Unlike previous times, it's warmer and the sun is breaking the clouds so it may have a shot at destabilizing enough here for at least strong winds.
 
Not liking the wording and threat level. A couple intense tornadoes possible...
 
The tornado warned storm in mississippi about to head over alabama looks pretty healthy suprised it hasn't exploded in development yet given the open space it had.
Screenshot_20190314-125158_RadarScope.jpg
 
A lot of these are now starting to "hook"...Looks like a long afternoon in Bama

Edit: Warnings all over MS now
 
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That storm near sulligent is really starting to rotateScreenshot_20190314-134403_RadarScope.jpg
 
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Definitely more impressive than I thought with the leading convection staying more discrete. That said, so far it looks as low level helicity is staying low as modeled.
 
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