Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
The EPS still coming in but appears to be well west of Euro run.
Yup....if the donkey is in the passage at noon tomorrow, kids have longer to play. If the donkey jumps the passage gate and is headed to the pasture, the race is on to AL/western FL. Won't be able to corral him.There is a donkey. There are eager kids. There is a blindfold. There is a tail to pin.
That's where we are until tomorrow 12Z, IMHO ...
Cat3....no question is ever dumb.I’m sure this is a dumb question but what category is the euro suggesting this comes in as? A 4?
Cat3....no question is ever dumb.
That could very well happen .I guess for now it's in the error of short term movement since the center will tuck east with the deep convection .Possible major development: per what I've been seeing with recon, there apparently is a stronger center (~1000 mb) a whopping full degree EAST of the NHC track as well as the non UKMET 12Z model consensus. This is actually very close to where the 12Z UKMET, which is about a full degree east of all of the other major models at 12Z, has it as of 8 PM EDT this evening. Advantage may be going to the 12Z UKMET very shortly here.
Second verification will happen at noon tomorrow. If its still in the passage, Ukmet and Euro will be leading the direction.Possible major development: per what I've been seeing with recon, there apparently is a stronger center (~1000 mb) a whopping full degree EAST of the NHC track as well as the non UKMET 12Z model consensus. This is actually very close to where the 12Z UKMET, which is about a full degree east of all of the other major models at 12Z, has it as of 8 PM EDT this evening. Advantage may be going to the 12Z UKMET very shortly here.