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Tropical Major Hurricane Laura

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I say central Louisiana has been the target so far. Still a long ways and many more shifting to do
 
Yep. Here we go. Will be very interesting to follow. No model has the center anywhere near this far south.
 
Jrips2710 said:
Yep. Here we go. Will be very interesting to follow. No model has the center anywhere near this far south.
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If that's really the center the east shifts will halt

Also I wouldn't be surprised if we see higher intensity forecasts again if it can strengthen into a hurricane even before it gets past Cuba which seems like a possibility
 
Brent said:
Meanwhile the Ukmet shifted west to southwest of Houston and Galveston and is 40 miles inland with a pressure of 948 mb

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967 mb still an hour to my south way up here!
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That location is roughly 30 miles South of my parents' house. It is bad for Houston if it passes through 29.12 N 96.06 West.
 
I think we're going to see a cat 2, possibly cat 3,.make landfall.
 
If that center relocation is right the 0z models are trash anyway garbage in garbage out

But more time over water there's no good news

I have never seen the Euro so inconsistent

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LOOKS LIKE MARCO IS GETTING HAMMERED BY THE SHEAR AND LAURA MIGHT GET A CHANCE TO BLOW UP ENTERING INTO VERY FAVORABLE TERRITORY
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NOW IM NOT QUITE SURE HOW THE UPPER LEVEL STEERING AFFECTS A STORM BUT IT LOOKS TO ME THAT UNLESS THE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL US DOESNT GIVE AND ALLOWS THE STEERING WINDS TO MOVE MORE WEST THEN LAURA MAY HEAD FOR MS/AL/FL AREA...

PLEASE SOMEONE CORRECT ME IF THIS IS INACCURATE!!!!!!!
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PEA_RIDGE said:
LOOKS LIKE MARCO IS GETTING HAMMERED BY THE SHEAR AND LAURA MIGHT GET A CHANCE TO BLOW UP ENTERING INTO VERY FAVORABLE TERRITORY
View attachment 47081

NOW IM NOT QUITE SURE HOW THE UPPER LEVEL STEERING AFFECTS A STORM BUT IT LOOKS TO ME THAT UNLESS THE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL US DOESNT GIVE AND ALLOWS THE STEERING WINDS TO MOVE MORE WEST THEN LAURA MAY HEAD FOR MS/AL/FL AREA...

PLEASE SOMEONE CORRECT ME IF THIS IS INACCURATE!!!!!!!
View attachment 47082
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This has been something I’ve been wondering about since yesterday when Marco wasn’t making a turn to the west like predicted. The main steering influence on Laura is the Bermuda high, and unless it just strengthens and changes orientation enough to push her to the west, I just don’t see how she goes all the way to Texas. I’m with you, and really beginning to wonder if this isn’t more of a LA, MS, AL threat. Of course the folks at the Hurricane Center have been at this a long time and they’ve been fairly consistent on the track.
 
Chazwin said:
This has been something I’ve been wondering about since yesterday when Marco wasn’t making a turn to the west like predicted. The main steering influence on Laura is the Bermuda high, and unless it just strengthens and changes orientation enough to push her to the west, I just don’t see how she goes all the way to Texas. I’m with you, and really beginning to wonder if this isn’t more of a LA, MS, AL threat. Of course the folks at the Hurricane Center have been at this a long time and they’ve been fairly consistent on the track.
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12z today should be telling
 
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