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Tropical Major Hurricane Laura

Marco continues to weaken. Could make it easier for Laura to get stronger.
 
ICON has it making landfall on the TX/LA border as a 964 mb hurricane. It's southwest of the last run.
 
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Gfs landfall further east
 
Tomorrow is the day we can lock down a trajectory for this system. This time tomorrow we will know how it handled half of the landmass. Looking at the ULL it isn’t well defined. Land is having an effect with the LLC and MLC causing the poles to be tilted. This hasn’t caused any major track problems tonight. By my calculations, it’s only off about 15 miles North from forecast track at 5pm. Laura has been trending south in the gulf with a strong area of HP. Marco may play a smaller roll with Laura then originally thought. The trough over the Midwest presses on the system west. Just going my models at 5pm the Midwest trough will cause Laura to come on shore around middle Louisiana. I’m not dismissing the NAM trajectory as of yet, but the strength is way overrated.


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Tornadocane said:
Am I the only one that thinks Laura is transitioning into a beast right now?
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No you're not I've been getting increasingly concerned as I've seen the structure today over and near some of the highest mountains in the whole basin

It shouldn't even be strengthening now if the Gulf really does have the amazing upper level environment modeled it's gonna be ugly
 
I personally would not be wishcasting for what may be a Major Hurricane to make landfall anywhere near me during a pandemic and recession but hey that's just me.
 
Cadi40 said:
I personally would not be wishcasting for what may be a Major Hurricane to make landfall anywhere near me during a pandemic and recession but hey that's just me.
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I personally would not be wishcasting for what may be a Major Hurricane to make landfall anywhere near me EVER but hey that's just me.

Meanwhile, 0Z GEFS:
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0z HMON is further east at landfall. Louisiana landfall
 
A recent ASCAT pass shows a center relocation may be taking place to the area between Cuba and Jamaica. This could have massive ramifications for down the line. This center position would likely miss most of the Cuban peninsula. AF85B4A6-130C-45F6-93BD-BE8154E56EEC.jpeg
 
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